令和3年度  論文・著書・その他

Endo, H., A. Kitoh, and R. Mizuta, 2022: Future changes in extreme precipitation and their association with tropical cyclone activity over the western North Pacific and East Asia in 20 km AGCM simulations. SOLA, 18, doi:10.2151/sola.2022-010.

鬼頭昭雄(監修), 2022: 図解地球温暖化の科学. 宝島社, 128 pp.

Yoshimura, H., 2021: Improved double Fourier series on a sphere and its application to a semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian shallow water model. Geoscientific Model Development, doi:10.5194/gmd-2021-168. (accepted)

Zanis, P., D. Akritidis, S. Turnock, V. Naik, S. Szopa, A. K. Georgoulias, S. E. Bauer, M. Deushi, L. W. Horowitz, J. Keeble, P. Le Sager, F. M. O'Connor, N. Oshima, K. Tsigaridis, and T. van Noije, 2022: Climate change penalty and benefit on surface ozone: A global perspective based on CMIP6 Earth System Models. Environmental Research Letters, 17, 024014, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac4a34.

Aizawa, T., N. Oshima, and S. Yukimoto, 2022: Contributions of anthropogenic aerosol forcing and multidecadal internal variability to mid-20th century Arctic cooling-CMIP6/DAMIP multimodel analysis. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, doi:10.1029/2021GL097093. (accepted)

鬼頭昭雄, 2022: 数値モデルを用いた気候変動研究 -2021年度藤原賞受賞記念講演-. 天気, 69, 5-16.

Adachi, K., J.E. Dibb, E. Scheuer, J.M. Katich, J.P. Schwarz, A.E. Perring, B. Mediavilla, H. Guo, P. Campuzano-Jost, J.L. Jimenez, J. Crawford, A. J. Soja, N. Oshima, M. Kajino, T. Kinase, L. Kleinman, A.J. Sedlacek, R.J. Yokelson, and P.R. Buseck, 2022: Fine Ash-Bearing Particles as a Major Aerosol Component in Biomass Burning Smoke. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere, 127, e2021JD035657, doi:10.1029/2021JD035657.

Endo, H., A. Kitoh, R. Mizuta, and T. Ose, 2021: Different future changes between early and late summer monsoon precipitation in East Asia. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 99, 1501-1524, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2021-073.

Kamae, Y., Y. Imada, H. Kawase, W. Mei, 2021: Atmospheric Rivers Bring More Frequent and Intense Extreme Rainfall Events Over East Asia Under Global Warming. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL096030, doi:10.1029/2021GL096030.

Imada, Y., and H. Kawase, 2021: Potential Seasonal Predictability of the Risk of Local Rainfall Extremes Estimated Using High-Resolution Large Ensemble Simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL096236, doi:10.1029/2021GL096236.

Fukui, S., and A. Murata, 2021: Sensitivity to Horizontal Resolution of Regional Climate Model in Simulated Precipitation over Kyushu in Baiu Season. SOLA, 17, 207-212, doi:10.2151/sola.2021-036.

Pinzon, R. E., N. N. Ishizaki, H. Sasaki, and T. Nakaegawa, 2021: Panama's Current Climate Replicability in a Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model Nested in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model. Atmosphere, 12, 1543, doi:10.3390/atmos12121543.

Takahashi, C., Y. Imada, and M. Watanabe, 2021: Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Wintertime Extreme Snowfall and Precipitation in Japan. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, accepted, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2022-014.

Ohata, S., M. Koike, A. Yoshida, N. Moteki, K. Adachi, N. Oshima, H. Matsui, O. Eppers, H. Bozem, M. Zanatta, and A. B. Herber, 2021: Arctic black carbon during PAMARCMiP 2018 and previous aircraft experiments in spring. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21, 15861-15881, doi:10.5194/acp-21-15861-2021.

Ohata, S., T. Mori, Y. Kondo, S. Sharma, A. Hyvärinen, E. Andrews, P. Tunved, E. Asmi, J. Backman, H. Servomaa, D. Veber, K. Eleftheriadis, S. Vratolis, R. Krejci, P. Zieger, M. Koike, Y. Kanaya, A. Yoshida, N. Moteki, Y. Zhao, et al., 2021: Estimates of mass absorption cross sections of black carbon for filter-based absorption photometers in the Arctic. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, 14, 6723-6748, doi:10.5194/amt-14-6723-2021.

Tanji, S., M. Inatsu, and T. Okaze, 2021: Development of a snowdrift model with the lattice Boltzmann method. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 8, 57, doi:10.1186/s40645-021-00449-0.

Inatsu, M., S. Kawazoe, and M. Mori, 2021: Trends and Projection of Heavy Snowfall in Hokkaido, Japan, as an Application of Self-Organizing Map. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 60, 10, 1483-1494, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-21-0085.1.

Takayabu, I., R. Rasmussen, E. Nakakita, A. Prein, H. Kawase, S. Watanabe, S. A. Adachi, T. Takemi, K. Yamaguchi, Y. Osakada, and Y.-H. Wu, 2022: Convection-Permitting Models for Climate Research. BAMS, 103, 1, E77-82,doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0043.1.

Abalos, M., N. Calvo, S. Benito-Barca, H. Garny, S. C. Hardiman, P. Lin, M. B. Andrews, N. Butchart, R. Garcia, C. Orbe, D. Saint-Martin, S. Watanabe, and K. Yoshida, 2021: The Brewer-Dobson circulation in CMIP6. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21, 13571-13591, doi:10.5194/acp-21-13571-2021.

川瀬宏明, 極端豪雨はなぜ毎年のように発生するのか ~気象のしくみを理解し、地球温暖化との関係をさぐる~. 化学同人, 2021年8月17日

Yoshida, K., and R. Mizuta, 2021: Do sudden stratospheric warmings boost convective activity in the tropics?. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, doi:10.1029/2021GL093688.

Yamada, J. T., T. Hoshino, and A. Suzuki, 2021: Using a massive high-resolution ensemble climate data set to examine dynamic and thermodynamic aspects of heavy precipitation change. Atmospheric science letters, doi:10.1002/asl.1065.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, and S. Yukimoto, 2021: Relationship between shortwave radiation bias over the Southern Ocean and the double-intertropical convergence zone problem in MRI-ESM2. Atmospheric Science Letters, e1064, doi:10.1002/asl.1064.

Pinzon, R. E., T. Nakaegawa, K. Hibino, and I. Takayabu, 2021: A climate analogue approach to understanding the future climates of six western South American capital cities. Atmosfera, 34(3), 255-266, doi:10.20937/ATM52794.

Parrish, D. D., R. G. Derwent, S. T. Turnock, F. M. O’Connor, J. Staehelin, S. E. Bauer, M. Deushi, N. Oshima, K. Tsigaridis, T. Wu, and J. Zhang, 2021: Investigations on the Anthropogenic Reversal of the Natural Ozone Gradient between Northern and Southern Mid-latitudes. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 21, 9669-9679, doi:10.5194/acp-21-9669-2021.

Mori, T., Y. Kondo, S. Ohata, K. Goto-Azuma, K. Fukuda, Y. Ogawa-Tsukagawa, N. Moteki, A. Yoshida, M. Koike, P. R. Sinha, N. Oshima, H. Matsui, Y. Tobo, M. Yabuki and W. Aas, 2021: Seasonal variation of wet deposition of black carbon at Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD034110, doi:10.1029/2020JD034110.

Hatsuzuka, D., T. Sato, and Y. Higuchi, 2021: Sharp rises in large-scale, long-duration precipitation extremes with higher temperatures over Japan. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4, 29, doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00184-9.

Hattori, S., Y. Iizuka, B. Alexander, S. Ishino, K. Fujita, S. Zhai, T. Sherwen, N. Oshima, R. Uemura, A. Yamada, N. Suzuki, S. Matoba, A. Tsuruta, J. Savarino, and N. Yoshida, 2021: Isotopic Evidence for Acidity-driven Enhancement of Sulfate Formation after SO2 emission control. Science Advances, 7(19), eabd4610, doi:10.1126/sciadv.abd4610.

Kawamiya, M., M. Ishii, N. Mori, E. Nakakita, I. Takayabu, and M. Watanabe, 2021: Preface for "Projection and impact assessment of global change". Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 8, 30, doi:10.1186/s40645-021-00422-x.

Kajino, M., M. Deushi, T. T. Sekiyama, N. Oshima, K. Yumimoto, T. Y. Tanaka, J. Ching, A. Hashimoto, T. Yamamoto, M. Ikegami, A. Kamada, M. Miyashita, Y. Inomata, S. Shima, P. Khatri, A. Shimizu, H. Irie, K. Adachi, Y. Zaizen, Y. Igarashi, H. Ueda, T. Maki, and M. Mikami, 2021: Comparison of three aerosol representations of NHM-Chem (v1.0) for the simulations of air quality and climate-relevant variables. Geoscientific Model Development, 14, 2235-2264, doi:10.5194/gmd-14-2235-2021.

Jones, C. D., J. E. Hickman, S. T. Rumbold, J. Walton, R. D. Lamboll, R. B. Skeie, S. Fiedler, P. M. Forster, J. Rogelj, M. Abe, M. Botzet, K. Calvin, C. Cassou, J. N. S. Cole, P. Davini, M. Deushi, M. Dix, J. C. Fyfe, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, and et al., 2021: The Climate Response to Emissions Reductions due to COVID-19: Initial Results from CovidMIP. Geophysical Research Letters, 48, 8, doi:10.1029/2020GL091883.

Takaya, Y., Y. Kosaka, M. Watanabe, and S. Maeda, 2021: Skilful predictions of the Asian summer monsoon one year ahead. Nature Communications, 12, 2094, doi:10.1038/s41467-021-22299-6.

Murazaki, K., H. Kamahori, C. Kobayashi, and S. Yukimoto, 2021: Influence of High-Resolution SST on Early Summer Surface Air Temperature in Japan in Downscaling Experiments, SOLA, 17, 75-78(TBA), doi:10.2151/sola.2021-014(early online release).

令和2年度  論文・著書・その他

Nosaka, M., H. Kawase, A. Murata, and H. Sasaki, 2021: Future Changes in Early Spring Wind Speed and Surface Warming Acceleration in Snow-Covered Areas. JGR Atmospheres, 126, 7, e2020JD034089, doi:10.1029/2020JD034089.

Aizawa, T., M. Ishii, N. Oshima, S. Yukimoto, and H. Hasumi, 2021: Arctic warming and associated sea ice reduction in the early 20th century induced by natural forcings in MRI-ESM2.0 climate simulations and multi-model analyses, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2020GL092336 (accepted).

Kajino, M., M. Deushi, T. T. Sekiyama, N. Oshima, K. Yumimoto, T. Y. Tanaka, J. Ching, A. Hashimoto, T. Yamamoto, M. Ikegami, A. Kamada, M. Miyashita, Y. Inomata, S. Shima, P. Khatri, A. Shimizu, H. Irie, K. Adachi, Y. Zaizen, Y. Igarashi, H. Ueda, T. Maki, and M. Mikami, 2020: Comparison of three aerosol representations of NHM-Chem (v1.0) for the simulations of air quality and climate-relevant variables, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., doi:10.5194/gmd-2020-229 (preprint).

Kusunoki, S., and R. Mizuta, 2021: Future changes in rainy season over East Asia projected by massive ensemble simulations with a high-resolution global atmospheric model, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 99, 79-100, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2021-005.

Hong, C.-C., C.-H. Tsou, P.-C. Hsu, K.-C. Chen, H.-C. Liang, H.-H. Hsu, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2021: Future changes in tropical cyclone intensity and frequency over the western North Pacific based on 20-km HiRAM and MRI models, J. Climate, 34, 6, 2235-2251, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0417.1 .

Hsu, P.-C., K.-C. Chen, C.-H. Tsou, H.-H. Hsu, C.-C. Hong, H.-C. Liang, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2021: Future changes in the frequency and destructiveness of landfalling tropical cyclones over East Asia projected by high-resolution AGCMs, Earth’s Future, 9, 3, e2020EF001888, doi:10.1029/2020EF001888.

Kitoh, A., E. Mohino, Y. Ding, K. Rajendran, T. Ambrizzi, J. Marengo, and V. Magaña, 2021: Combined oceanic influences on continental climates. In: C. R. Mechoso (ed.), Interacting Climates of Ocean Basins: Observations, Mechanisms, Predictability, and Impacts. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-1-108-49270-6, doi:10.1017/9781108610995, pp. 216-257.

Sugawara, K., M. Inatsu, S. Shimoda, K, Murakami, and T. Hirota, 2021: Risk assessment and possible adaptation of potato production in Hokkaido to climate change using a large number ensemble climate dataset d4PDF, SOLA, 17, 24-29, doi:10.2151/sola.2021-004.

Shiogama, H., N. N. Ishizaki, N. Hanasaki, K. Takahashi, S. Emori, R. Ito, T. Nakaegawa, I. Takayabu, Y. Hijioka, Y. N. Takayabu, and R. Shibuya, 2021: Selecting CMIP6-based future climate scenarios for impact and adaptation studies, SOLA, Advance publication, doi:10.2151/sola.2021-009.

Takayabu, I., N. N. Ishizaki, T. Nakaegawa, H. Sasaki, and W. Wongseree, 2021: Potential of representing the diurnal cycle of local-scale precipitation in northeastern Thailand using 5-km and 2-km grid regional climate models, Hydrological Research Letters, 15, 1, 1-8, doi:10.3178/hrl.15.1.

Yamanaka, G., H. Nakano, K. Sakamoto, T. Toyoda, L. S. Urakawa, S. NIshikawa, T. Wakamatsu, H. Tsujino, and Y. Ishikawa, 2021: Projected climate change in the western North Pacific at the end of the 21st century from ensemble simulations with a high-resolution regional ocean model, Journal of Oceanography, doi:10.1007/s10872-021-00593-7.

Tsuboki, K., and Y. Luo, 2021: High-resolution simulations of heavy rainfalls in asssociation with monsoon systems and typhoons using cloud-resolving models, World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate -The Multiscale Global Monsoon System, 11, 113-131, doi:10.1142/9789811216602_0010.

山田朋人, 気候変動下における大雨の将来リスクに関する新しい解釈と提案, 総合土木技術誌土木施工, 2021年2月号, 2021年2月

Kanada, S., H. Aiki, K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2021: Future Changes of a Slow-Moving Intense Typhoon with Global Warming: A Case Study Using a Regional 1-km-mesh Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Model, SOLA, 17A, 14-20, doi:10.2151/sola.17A-003.

Kawase, H., M. Yamaguchi, Y. Imada, S. Hayashi, A. Murata, T. Nakaegawa, T. Miyasaka, and I. Takayabu, 2021: Enhancement of Extremely Heavy Precipitation Induced by Typhoon Hagibis (2019) due to Historical Warming, SOLA, 17A, 7-13, doi:10.2151/sola.17A-002.

Kawase, H., A. Murata, K. Yamada, T. Nakaegawa, R. Ito, R. Mizuta, M. Nosaka, S. Watanabe, and H. Sasaki, 2021: Regional Characteristics of Future Changes in Snowfall in Japan under RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 Scenarios, SOLA, 17, 1-7, doi:10.2151/sola.2021-001.

Yamada, Y., C. Kodama, M. Satoh, M. Sugi, M. J. Roberts, R. Mizuta, A. T. Noda, T. Nasuno, M. Nakano, and P. L. Vidale, 2021: Evaluation of the contribution of tropical cyclone seeds to changes in tropical cyclone frequency due to global warming in high-resolution multi-model ensemble simulations, PEPS, 8, 11, doi:10/1186/s40645-020-00397-1.

星野剛, 岡地寛季, 竹原由, 山田朋人, 2020: 台風経路に着目した令和元年台風19号の大雨特性の評価, 土木学会論文集B1(水工学), 76巻, 1号, 414-423, doi:10.2208/jscejhe.76.1_414.

Nishikawa, S., T. Wakamatsu, H. Ishizaki, K. Sakamoto, Y. Tanaka, H. Tsujino, G. Yamanaka, M. Kamachi, and Y. Ishikawa, 2021: Development of high-resolution future ocean regional projection datasets for coastal applications in Japan, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 8, 7, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00399-z.

Wang, B., M. Biasutti, M. P. Byrne, C. Castro, C.-P. Chang, K. Cook, R. Fu, A. M. Grimm, K.-J. Ha, H. Hendon, A. Kitoh, R. Krishnan, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, J. Liu, A. Moise, S. Pascale, M. K. Roxy, A. Seth, C.-H. Sui, A. Turner, S. Yang, K.-S. Yun, L. Zhang, and T. Zhou, 2021: Monsoons Climate Change Assessment, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 102(1), E1-E19, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1.

Fudeyasu, H., K. Yoshida, and R. Yoshida, 2020: Future Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis Environment in High-Resolution Large-Ensemble Simulations, Oceans, 1, 355-368, doi:10.3390/oceans1040024.

Yamaguchi, M., and S. Maeda, 2020: Slowdown of typhoon translation speeds in Mid-latitudes in September influenced by the Pacific decadal oscillation and global warming, JMSJ, 98, 6, 1321-1334, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-068.

Kawai, H., and S. Shige, 2020: Marine Low Clouds and their Parameterization in Climate Models, JMSJ, 98, 6, 1097-1127, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-059.

Kajino, M., H. Hagino, Y. Fujitani, T. Morikawa, T. Fukui, K. Onishi, T. Okuda, T. Kajikawa, and Y. Igarashi, 2020: Modeling transition metals in East Asia and Japan and its emission sources, GeoHealth, 4, 9, doi:10.1029/2020GH000259.

Ito, R., T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Comparison of regional characteristics of land precipitation climatology projected by an MRI-AGCM multi-cumulus scheme and multi-SST ensemble with CMIP5 multi-model ensemble projections, PEPS, 7, 77, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00394-4.

Kawazoe, S., M. Inatsu, T. J. Yamada, and T. Hoshino, 2020: Climate change impacts on heavy snowfall in Sapporo using 5-km mesh large ensemble simulations, SOLA, 16, 233–239, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-039.

Kosaka, Y., Y. Takaya, and Y. Kamae, 2020: The Indo-western Pacific Ocean capacitor effect. Tropical and Extratropical Air-Sea Interactions Modes of Climate Variations, 141-169, doi:10.1016/B978-0-12-818156-0.00012-5.

Murata, A., S. I. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, and M. Nosaka, 2020: Assessing goodness of fit to gamma distribution and estimating future projection on daily precipitation frequency using regional climate model simulations over Japan with and without the influence of tropical cyclones. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 21, 2997-3010, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-20-0068.1.

山田朋人, アンサンブル手法による気候変動予測・リスク評価の考え方, 雑誌「河川」, 令和2年12月号, 77-81, 2020年12月1日

Nakaegawa, T., T. Kobashi, and H. Kamahori, 2020: Characteristics of extreme value statistics of annual maximum monthly precipitation in East Asia calculated using an earth system model of intermediate complexity, Atmosphere,11(12), 1273, doi:10.3390/atmos11121273.

西川史朗, 若松剛, 石川洋一, 五十嵐弘道, 2020: 気候変動適応策の検討に資するための領域海洋将来予測データセット構築, Annual Report of the Earth Simulator, April 2019 - March 2020, 2020年11月

今田由紀子, 2020: 異常気象が異常でなくなった世界, 岩波書店, 世界 2020年12月号, 2020年11月7日

Tinumbang, A.F.A, K. Yorozu, Y. Tachikawa, Y. Ichikawa, H. Sasaki, and T. Nakaegawa, 2020: Impacts of model structures and soil parameters on runoff characteristics in land surface models. 土木学会論文集(水工学), 65:2020 p.I_217-222.

Kitoh, A., and H. Endo, 2020: Future Changes in Global Monsoon Precipitation and their Uncertainty: Results from 20-km and 60-km MRI-AGCM Ensemble Simulations. In: C.-P. Chang, K.-J. Ha, R. H. Johnson, D. Kim, G. N.-C. Lau, and B. Wang (eds.), The Multiscale Global Monsoon System. World Scientific Publishing, ISBN 978-981-121-659-6, pp.343-353, doi:10.1142/11723.

Hibino, K., and I. Takayabu, 2020: Effective sample size for precipitation estimation in atmospheric general circulation model ensemble experiments: dependence on temporal and spatial averaging scales, Climatic Change, 163, 297-315, doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02886-0.

Couldrey, M. P., J. M. Gregory, F. B. Dias, P. Dobrohotoff, C. M. Domingues, O. Garuba, S. M. Griffies, H. Haak, A. Hu, M. Ishii, J. Jungclaus, A. Köhl, S. J. Marsland, S. Ojha, O. A. Saenko, A. Savita, A. Shao, D. Stammer, T. Suzuki, A. Todd, and L. Zanna, 2020: What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing?, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05471-4.

Suzuki, K., T. Iwasaki, and T. Yamazaki, 2020: Analysis of Systematic Error in Numerical Weather Prediction of Coastal Fronts in Japan’s Kanto Plain, JMSJ, in press, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2021-002.

Martinez, M. M., T. Nakaegawa, R. Pinzón, S. Kusunoki, R. Gordón, and J. E. Sanchez-Galan, 2020: Using a Statistical Crop Model to Predict Maize Yield by the End-Of-Century for the Azuero Region in Panama, Atmosphere, 11(10), 1097, doi:10.3390/atmos11101097.

Ito, R., T. Ose, H. Endo, R. Mizuta, K. Yoshida, A. Kitoh, and T. Nakaegawa, 2020: Seasonal characteristics of future climate change over Japan and the associated atmospheric circulation anomalies in global model experiments, Hydrol. Res. Lett., 14(4), 130-135, doi:10.3178/hrl.14.130.

Imada, Y., H. Kawase, M. Watanabe, M. Arai, H. Shiogama, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Advanced risk-based event attribution for heavy regional rainfall events, Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3, 37, doi:10.1038/s41612-020-00141-y.

Ishii, M., and N. Mori, 2020: d4PDF: large-ensemble and high-resolution climate simulations for global warming risk assessment, SPEPS, 7, 58 (2020), doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00367-7.

高薮出, 2020: 気候予測データセットの概要と今後の展開について, 日本河川協会 河川, No.890, 20-22, 2020年9月20日

Varghese, S. J., S. Surendran, B. Ajithkumar, K. Rajendran, and A. Kitoh, 2020: Future changes in rice yield over Kerala using climate change scenario from high resolution global climate model projection, Journal of Earth System Science, 129, 192, doi:10.1007/s12040-020-01459-0.

Schuckmann, K. V., L. Cheng, M. D. Palmer, J. Hansen, C. Tassone, V. Aich, S. Adusumilli, H. Beltrami, T. Boyer, F. J. Cuesta-Valero, D. Desbruyères, C. Domingues, A. García-García, P. Gentine, J. Gilson, M. Gorfer, L. Haimberger, M. Ishii, G. C. Johnson, R. Killik, B. A. King, G. Kirchengast, N. Kolodziejczyk, J. Lyman, B. Marzeion, M. Mayer, M. Monier, D. P. Monselesan, S. Purkey, D. Roemmich, A. Schweiger, S. I. Seneviratne, A. Shepherd, D. A. Slater, A. K. Steiner, F. Straneo, M.-L. Timmermans and S. E. Wijffels, 2020: Heat stored in the Earth system: where does the energy go?, Earth System Science Data (ESSD), 12, 2013-2041, doi:10.5194/essd-12-2013-2020.

Inatsu, M., S. Tanji, and Y. Sato, 2020: Toward predicting expressway closures due to blowing snow events, Cold Region Science and Technology, 177, 103–123, doi:10.1016/j.coldregions.2020.103123.

村松貴有, 加藤輝之, 中里真久, 遠藤洋和, 鬼頭昭雄, 2020: 竜巻の将来予測. 気象研究ノート, 243, 288-297.

Kawai, H., and T. Koshiro, 2020: Does Radiative Cooling of Stratocumulus Strengthen Summertime Subtropical Highs?, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Earth System Modelling/WMO, 50, 7.11-7.12.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, and S. Yukimoto, 2020: Relationship between shortwave radiation bias over the Southern Ocean and the ITCZ in MRI-ESM2, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Earth System Modelling/WMO, 50, 7.09-7.10.

Koshiro, T., H. Kawai, and S. Yukimoto, 2020: Impact of cloud microphysics parameter on 20th century warming simulated in MRI-CGCM3, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Earth System Modelling, 50, 7.13-7.14.

Ohba, M., and H. Kawase, 2020: Rain-on-Snow events in Japan as projected by a large ensemble of regional climate simulations, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05419-8.

Ngai, S. T., H. Sasaki, A. Murata, M. Nosaka, J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, Supari, E. Salimun, F. Tangang, 2020: Extreme rainfall projections for Malaysia at the end of 21st century using the high resolution Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model (NHRCM), SOLA, 16, 132-139, doi.org/10.2151/sola.2020-023.

Oshima, N., S. Yukimoto, M. Deushi, T. Koshiro, H. Kawai, T. Y. Tanaka, and K. Yoshida, 2020: Global and Arctic Effective Radiative Forcing of Anthropogenic Gases and Aerosols in MRI-ESM2.0, PEPS, 7, 38, doi.org/10.1186/s40645-020-00348-w.

Malcolm, J. R., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P. L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vannière, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. D. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P. Ullrich, Y. Yamada, R. Mizuta, C. Kodama, D. Fu, Q. Zhang, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, H. Wang, and L. Wu, 2020: Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP Multimodel Ensemble, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 14, doi:10.1029/2020GL088662.

Miyasaka, T., H. Kawase, T. Nakaegawa, Y. Imada, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Future projections of heavy precipitation in Kanto and associated weather patterns using large ensemble high-resolution simulations, SOLA, 16, 125-131, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-022.

Yoshida, R., S. Fukui, S. Fukui, and T. Yamazaki, 2020: Applicability of meteorological ensemble forecasting to predict summer cold damage in rice growth, Journal of Agricultural Meteorology, 76, 3, 128-139, doi:10.2480/agrmet.D-20-00004.

Nishikawa, H., S. Nishikawa, H. Ishizaki, T. Wakamatsu, and Y. Ishikawa, 2020: Detection of the Oyashio and Kuroshio fronts under the projected climate change in the 21st century, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 7, 29, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00342-2.

鬼頭昭雄, 2020: 地球の気候変動、何がどうしてそうなるの?, 社会運動, 2020年7月号, 12-23.

Nosaka, M., M. Ishii, H. Shiogama, R. Mizuta, A. Murata, H. Kawase, and H. Sasaki, 2020: Scalability of future climate changes across Japan examined with large-ensemble simulations at +1.5 K, +2 K, and +4 K global warming levels, PEPS, 7, 27, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00341-3.

Mizuta, R., and H. Endo, 2020: Projected changes in extreme precipitation in a 60-km AGCM large ensemble and their dependence on return periods, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 13, doi:10.1029/2019GL086855.

Tangang, F., J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, Supari, E. Salimun, S. T. Ngai, A. F. Jamaluddin, M. S. F. Mohd, F. Cruz, G. Narisma, J. Santisirisomboon, T. Ngo-Duc, P. V. Tan, P. Singhruck, D. Gunawan, E. Aldrian, A. Sopaheluwakan, N. Grigory, A. R. C. Remedio, D. V. Sein, D. Hein-Griggs, J. L. McGregor, H. Yang, H. Sasaki and P. Kumar, 2020: Projected future changes in rainfall in Southeast Asia based on CORDEX–SEA multi-model simulations, Clim. Dyn., 55, 1247–1267 (2020), doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05322-2.

Cha, E. J., T. R. Knutson, T.-C. Lee, M. Ying, and T. Nakaegawa, 2020: Third Assessment on Impacts of Climate Change on Tropical Cyclones in the Typhoon Committee Region – Part II: Future Projections, Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, 9, 2, 75-86, doi:10.1016/j.tcrr.2020.04.005.

坪木和久, 2020: 激甚気象はなぜ起こる, 新潮選書, pp.3-389, 2020年5月27日発売

Yamaguchi, M., and S. Maeda, 2020: Increase in the number of tropical cyclones approaching Tokyo since 1980, JMSJ, 98, 775-786, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-039.

鬼頭昭雄, 2020: 待ったなしの気候変動, 月刊保団連, 2020年5月号, 24-29.

伊藤昌資, 菅野豊, 大八木豊, 西澤諒亮, 川瀬宏明, 佐々井崇博, 杉本志織, 川﨑将生, 中北英一, 2020: 気候変動が淀川水系の渇水リスクに及ぼす影響, 水文・水資源学会誌, 第33巻, 3号, 83-97, doi:10.3178/jjshwr.33.83.

Sugi, M., Y. Yamada, K. Yoshida, R. Mizuta, M. Nakano, C. Kodama, and M. Satoh, 2020: Future changes in the global frequency of tropical cyclone seeds, SOLA, 16, 70-74, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-012.

Shiogama, H., R. Ito, Y. Imada, T. Nakaegawa, N. Hirota, N. N. Ishizaki, K. Takahashi, I. Takayabu, and S. Emori, 2020: Selecting future climate projections of surface solar radiation in Japan, SOLA, 16, 75-79, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-013.

Kanada, S., K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Future Changes of Tropical Cyclones in the Midlatitudes in 4-km-mesh Downscaling Experiments from Large-Ensemble Simulations, SOLA, 16, 57-63, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-010.

青木一眞, 山田朋人, 成岱蔚, 2020: 降雨流出現象の不確実性に関する研究,令和2年度土木学会北海道支部論文報告集, B-18.

布施拓也,大屋祐太,山田朋人, 2020: 平成27年9月関東・東北豪雨における鬼怒川流域を対象とした降雨の時空間分布と河川水位の関係, 令和2年度土木学会北海道支部論文報告集, B−24.

星野剛, 山田朋人, 2020: 力学・熱力学効果の観点での降雨の空間偏差要因の分析, 土木学会論文集B1(水工学), Vol.76, No.2, I_19-I_24.

宮本真希, 山田朋人, 2020: 気象要素を用いる客観手法による梅雨前線の季節進行と年々変動, 令和2年度土木学会北海道支部論文報告集, B−26.


令和元年度  論文・著書・その他

Shiogama, H., R. Ito, Y. Imada, T. Nakaegawa, N. Hirota, N. N. Ishizaki, K. Takahashi, I. Takayabu, and S. Emori, 2020: Selecting future climate projections of surface solar radiation in Japan, SOLA, 16, 75-79, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-013.

Kawase, H., T. Yamazaki, S. Sugimoto, T. Sasai, R. Ito, T. Hamada, M. Kuribayashi, M. Fujita, A. Murata, M. Nosaka, and H. Sasaki, 2020: Changes in extremely heavy and light snow-cover winters due to global warming over high mountainous areas in central Japan, PEPS, 7, Article number: 10, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-0322-x.

Nakagawa, Y., Y. Onoue, S. Kawahara, F. Araki, K. Koyamada, D. Matsuoka, Y. Ishikawa, M. Fujita, S. Sugimoto, Y. Okada, S. Kawazoe, Sh. Watanabe, M. Ishii, R. Mizuta, A. Murata, and H. Kawase, 2020: Development of a system for efficient content-based retrieval to analyze large volumes of climate data, PEPS, 7, 9, doi:10.1186/s40645-019-0315-9.

Ito, R., H. Shiogama, T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Uncertainties in climate change projections covered by the ISIMIP and CORDEX model subsets from CMIP5, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 859–872, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020.

Kawase, H., Y. Imada, H. Tsuguti, T. Nakaegawa, N. Seino, A. Murata, and I. Takayabu, 2019: The Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 in Japan enhanced by historical warming, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 101(1), S109-S114, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0173-1.

Kajino, M., S. Hayashida, T. T. Sekiyama, M. Deushi, K. Ito, and X. Liu, 2019: Detectability assessment of a satellite sensor for lower tropospheric ozone responses to its precursors emission changes in East Asian summer, Scientific Reports, 9, 19629, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-55759-7.

Sun, N., T. Zhou, X. Chen, H. Endo, A. Kitoh, and B. Wu, 2020: Amplified tropical Pacific rainfall variability related to background SST warming, Clim. Dyn., 54, 2387-2402, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05119-3.

Meyssignac, B., T. Boyer, Z. Zhao, M. Z. Hakuba, F. W. Landerer, D. Stammer, A. Köhl, S. Kato, T. L'Ecuyer, M. Ablain, J. P. Abraham, A. Blazquez, A. Cazenave, J. A. Church, R. Cowley, L. Cheng, C. M. Domingues, D. Giglio, V. Gouretski, M. Ishii, G. C. Johnson, R. E. Killick, D. Legler, W. Llovel, J. Lyman, M. D. Palmer, S. Piotrowicz, S. G. Purkey, D. Roemmich, R. Roca, A. Savita, K. von Schuckmann, S. Speich, G. Stephens, G. Wang, S. E. Wijffels, and N. Zilberman, 2019: Measuring Global Ocean Heat Content to estimate the Earth Energy Imbalance, Front. Mar. Sci., 6, 432, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00432.

Takemi, T., and R. Ito, 2020: Benefits of High-Resolution Downscaling Experiments for Assessing Strong Wind Hazard at Local Scales in Complex Terrain: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (2004), PEPS, 7, 4, doi:10.1186/s40645-019-0317-7.

山崎剛, 佐々井崇博, 川瀬宏明, 杉本志織, 大楽浩司, 伊東瑠衣, 佐々木秀孝, 藤田実季子, 2019: 5km力学的ダウンスケーリングデータセット(SI-CAT DDS5TK)の概要, シミュレーション学会誌, 38, 145-149.

Qian, Y., H. Murakami, M. Nakano, P. -C. Hsu, T. L. Delworth, S. B. Kapnick, V. Ramaswamy, T. Mochizuki, Y. Morioka, T. Doi, T. Kataoka, T. Nasuno, and K. Yoshida, 2019: On the mechanisms of the active 2018 tropical cyclone season in the North Pacific, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 12293–12302, doi:10.1029/2019GL084566.

Smith, A. K., L. A. Holt, R. R. Garcia, J. A. Anstey, F. Serva, N. Butchart, S. Osprey, A. C. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y. -H. Kim, F. Lott, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C. -C. Chen, H. -Y. Chun, L. Gray, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, J. Richter, S. Versick, V. Schenzinger, S. Watanabe, and K. Yoshida, 2019: The equatorial stratospheric semiannual oscillation and time-mean winds in QBOi models, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.3690. accepted.

Hatsuzuka, D., T. Sato, K. Yoshida, M. Ishii, and R. Mizuta, 2020: Regional projection of tropical-cyclone-induced extreme precipitation around Japan based on large ensemble simulations, SOLA, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-005.

Yamaguchi, M., J. C. L. Chan, I.-J. Moon, K. Yoshida, and R. Mizuta, 2020: Global Warming Changes Tropical Cyclone Translation Speed, Nature Communications, 11, 47, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-13902-y.

Nakaegawa, T., R. Pinzon, J. Fabrega, J. A. Cuevas, H. A. De Lima, E. Cordoba, K. Nakayama, J. I. B. Lao, A. L. Melo, D. A. Gonzalez, and S. Kusunoki, 2019: Seasonal changes of the diurnal variation of precipitation in the upper Río Chagres basin, Panamá, PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0224662.

川瀬宏明, 「地球温暖化で雪は減るのか増えるのか問題 -そろそろ、これからの雪の話をしよう!-」, ベレ出版, 2019年12月25日

Varghese, S. J., S. Surendran, K. Rajendran, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Future projections of Indian Summer Monsoon under multiple RCPs using a high resolution global climate model multiforcing ensemble simulations, Clim. Dyn., pp1-14, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05059-7.

鬼頭昭雄, 「激発する極端気象」, 世界, 岩波書店, 2019年12月号, No.927, 91-100, 2019年12月1日

Chen, C.-A., H.-H. Hsu, C.-C. Hong, P.-G. Chiu, C.-Y. Tu, S.-J. Lin, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Seasonal precipitation change in the western North Pacific and East Asia under global warming in two high-resolution AGCMs, Clim. Dyn., 53, 9-10, 5583-5605, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04883-1.

Kanada, S., H. Aiki, K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2019: Future Changes in Typhoon-related Precipitation in Eastern Hokkaido, SOLA, 15, 244-249, doi:10.2151/sola.2019-044.

Ose, T., 2019: Future changes in summertime East Asian monthly precipitation in CMIP5 and their dependence on present-day model climatology, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 1041-1053, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-055.

Yukimoto, S., H. Kawai, T. Koshiro, N. Oshima, K. Yoshida, S. Urakawa, H. Tsujino, M. Deushi, T. Tanaka, M. Hosaka, S. Yabu, H. Yoshimura, E. Shindo, R. Mizuta, A. Obata, Y. Adachi, and M. Ishii, 2019: The Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model version 2.0, MRI-ESM2.0: Description and basic evaluation of the physical component, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 931-965, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-051.

Watanabe, S. I., H. Tsujino, A. Murata, and M. Ishii, 2019: Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature Improved by a High-Resolution Ocean Model on Summer Precipitation in a Dynamical Downscaling over Japan, SOLA, 15, 183-188, doi:10.2151/sola.2019-033.

Watanabe, S. I., A. Murata, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, and M. Nosaka, 2019: Future projection of tropical cyclone precipitation over Japan with a high-resolution regional climate model, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 805-820, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-045.

鬼頭昭雄, 「特集/地球温暖化と台風 ~その関連性と災害リスクへの対応~ 地球温暖化で台風はどうなる?」, 一般財団法人 地球・人間環境フォーラム, 情報誌グローバルネット, 345号, 2019年8月号, 2019年8月16日

坪木和久, 「特集/豪雨・猛暑と温暖化 2018年災害の分析と予測 2018年の西日本豪雨をもたらした広域の水蒸気輸送-2017年の豪雨と比較して」, 岩波書店, 科学 2019年7月号, 2019年6月25日

今田由紀子, 「特集/豪雨・猛暑と温暖化 2018年災害の分析と予測 温暖化がなければ2018年の猛暑はなかった」, 岩波書店, 科学 2019年7月号, 2019年6月25日

Lamy, K., T. Portafaix, B. Josse, C. Brogniez, S. Godin-Beekmann, H. Bencherif, L. Revell, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, M. I. Hegglin, P. Jöckel, O. Kirner, B. Liley, V. Marecal, O. Morgenstern, A. Stenke, G. Zeng, N. L. Abraham, A. T. Archibald, N. Butchart, M. P. Chipperfield, G. Di Genova, M. Deushi, S. S. Dhomse, R.-M. Hu, D. Kinnison, M. Kotkamp, R. McKenzie, M. Michou, F. M. O'Connor, L. D. Oman, G. Pitari, D. A. Plummer, J. A. Pyle, E. Rozanov, D. Saint-Martin, K. Sudo, T. Y. Tanaka, D. Visioni, and K. Yoshida, 2019: Clear-sky ultraviolet radiation modelling using output from the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 10087-10110, doi:10.5194/acp-19-10087-2019.

Kawai, H., S. Yukimoto, T. Koshiro, N. Oshima, T. Tanaka, H. Yoshimura, and R. Nagasawa, 2019: Significant Improvement of Cloud Representation in the Global Climate Model MRI-ESM2, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2875-2897, doi:10.5194/gmd-12-2875-2019.

Kusunoki, S., T. Nakaegawa, R. Pinzon, J. E. Sanchez-Galan, and J. R. Fabrega, 2019: Future precipitation changes over Panama projected with the atmospheric global model MRI-AGCM3.2. Climate Dynamics, 53, 7-8, 5019-5034, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04842-W.

Naoe, H., and K. Yoshida, 2019: Influence of quasi-biennial oscillation on the boreal winter extratropical stratosphere in QBOi experiments, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 145, 723, July Part B, 2755-2771, doi:10.1002/qj.3591.

Imada, Y., M. Watanabe, H. Kawase, H. Shiogama, and M. Arai, 2019: The July 2018 high temperature event in Japan could not have happened without human-induced global warming, SOLA, 15A, 8-11(TBA), doi: 10.2151/sola.15A-002.

Kawase, H., Y. Imada, H. Sasaki, T. Nakaegawa, A. Murata, M. Nosaka, and I. Takayabu, 2019: Contribution of historical global warming to local-scale heavy precipitation in western Japan estimated by large ensemble high-resolution simulations, J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 124, 12, 6093-6103, doi: 10.1029/2018JD030155.

Mei, W., Y. Kamae, S. Xie, and K. Yoshida, 2019: Variability and predictability of North Atlantic hurricane frequency in a large ensemble of high-resolution atmospheric simulations, J. Climate, 32, 11, 3153–3167, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0554.1.

Kajino, M., M. Deushi, T. T. Sekiyama, N. Oshima, K. Yumimoto, T. Y. Tanaka, J. Ching, A. Hashimoto, T. Yamamoto, M. Ikegami, A. Kamada, M. Miyashita, Y. Inomata, S. Shima, A. Takami, A. Shimizu, S. Hatakeyama, Y. Sadanaga, H. Irie, K. Adachi, Y. Zaizen, Y. Igarashi, H. Ueda, T. Maki, and M. Mikami, 2019: NHM-Chem, the Japan Meteorological Agency’s regional meteorology ・chemistry model: model evaluations toward the consistent predictions of the chemical, physical, and optical properties of aerosols, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 2, 337-374, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-020.

Surendran, S., S. Gadgil, K. Rajendran, S. J. Varghese, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Monsoon rainfall over India in June and link with Northwest tropical Pacific, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 135, 3-4, 1195-1213, doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2440-6.

川瀬宏明, 「地球温暖化が日本の雪に及ぼす影響」, 農業および園芸, 第94巻, 第4号, 2019年4月1日

Kimura, N., H. Kiri, S. Kanada, I. Kitagawa, I. Yoshinaga, and H. Aiki, 2019: Flood Simulations in Mid-Latitude Agricultural Land Using Regional Current and Future Extreme Weathers, Water, 11, 2421, doi:10.3390/w11112421.

仲江川敏之,日比野研志,高薮出,2019: 気候アナログで実感する今世紀末の温暖化状況下におけるロシア主要7都市の気候, 土木学会論文集B1 (水工学), Vol.75, No.2, I_1045-I_1050.

Tinumbang, A.F.A., K. Yorozu, Y. Tachikawa, Y. Ichikawa, H. Sasaki, T. Nakaegawa, 2019: Analysis of runoff characteristics generated by land surface models and their impacts on river discharge, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineering, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering).


平成30年度  論文・著書・その他

Jamaluddin, A. F., F. Tangang, J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, H. Sasaki, and I. Takayabu, 2018: Investigating the mechanisms of diurnal rainfall variability over Peninsular Malaysia using the non-hydrostatic regional climate model, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 130, 6, 611–633, doi:10.1007/s00703-017-0541-x.

Mori, N., T. Shimura, K. Yoshida, R. Mizuta, Y. Okada, M. Fujita, T. Khujanazarov, and E. Nakakita, 2019: Future changes in extreme storm surges based on mega-ensemble projection using 60-km resolution atmospheric global circulation model, Coastal Engineering, 61, 3, 295-307, doi:10.1080/21664250.2019.1586290.

Arpornrat, T., S. Ratjiranukool, P. Ratjiranukool, and H. Sasaki, 2018: Evaluation of Southwest Monsoon Change over Thailand by High-resolution Regional Climate Model under High RCP Emission Scenario, Journal of Physics: Conference Series, Volume 1144, conference 1, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1144/1/012112 .

Ose, T., 2019: Characteristics of future changes in summertime East Asian monthly precipitation in MRI-AGCM global warming experiments, Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan, 97, 2, 317-335, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-018.

Huang, W.-R., P.-H. Huang, Y.-H. Chang, C.-T. Cheng, H.-H. Hsu, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Dynamical downscaling simulation and future projection of extreme precipitation activities in Taiwan during the Mei-Yu season, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 2, 481-499, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-028.

Murata, A., S. I. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, and M. Nosaka, 2019: The development of a resolution-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme for high-resolution climate model simulations, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 519-531, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-035.

川瀬宏明, 2019: 地球温暖化が日本の雪に及ぼす影響, 農業および園芸, 94, 296-304.

川瀬宏明, 飯田肇, 青木一真, 島田亙, 野坂真也, 村田昭彦, 佐々木秀孝, 2019:立山黒部アルペンルートにおける積雪観測と異なる水平解像度の非静力学地域気候モデル(NHRCM)を用いた積雪再現実験の比較,地学雑誌,128, 77-92, doi:10.5026/jgeography.128.77.

Kitoh, A., and H. Endo, 2019: Future changes in precipitation extremes associated with tropical cyclones projected by large-ensemble simulations, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 1, 141-152, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-007.

Rahman, M. M., N. Ferdousi, S. M. A. Abdullah, S. Kusunoki, and A. Islam, 2019: Recent climate simulation over SAARC region including Bangladesh using high resolution AGCM, Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 55, 115-134, DOI: 10.1007/s13143-018-0077-0 .

Surendran, S., S. Gadgil, K. Rajendran, S. J. Varghese, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Monsoon rainfall over India in June and link with Northwest tropical Pacific, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 135, 3-4, 1195-1213, doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2440-6.


村田昭彦, 2018: 雲解像地域気候モデルの現状, 混相流, 32, 4, 424-431, doi:10.3811/jjmf.2018.T012.

Morimoto, J., K. Nakagawa, K. T. Takano, M. Aiba, M. Oguro, Y. Furukawa, Y. Mishima, K. Ogawa, R. Ito, T. Takemi, F. Nakamura, C. J. Peterson, 2019: Comparison of vulnerability to catastrophic wind between Abies plantation forests and natural mixed forests in northern Japan, Forestry: An International Journal of Forest Research, 92, 4, 436-443, doi:10.1093/forestry/cpy045.

Tsuguti, H., N. Seino, H. Kawase, Y. Imada, T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2019: Meteorological overview and mesoscale characteristics of the Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 in Japan, Land Slide, 16, 2, 363–371, doi10.1007/s10346-018-1098-6.

Widlansky, M. J., H. Annamalai, S. B. Gingerich, C. D. Storlazzi, J. J. Marra, K. I. Hodges, B. Choy and A. Kitoh, 2019: Tropical cyclone projections: Changing climate threats for Pacific Island defense installations, Climate and Society, 11, 3-15, doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0112.1.

原田守啓,丸谷靖幸,伊東瑠衣,石崎紀子,川瀬宏明,大楽浩司,佐々木秀孝, 2018:JRA-55再解析データのダウンスケーリング実験における地形モデル選択が洪水流出解析に及ぼす影響, 土木学会論文集B1(水工学), 74(5), 103-108.

丸谷靖幸,原田守啓,伊東瑠衣,川瀬宏明,大楽浩司,佐々木秀孝, 2018:気候変動影響評価に向けた気候モデルおよび影響評価モデルの不確実性の評価,土木学会論文集B1(水工学), 74(5), 109-114.

丸谷靖幸,原田守啓,伊東瑠衣,川瀬宏明,大楽浩司,佐々木秀孝 2018:気候変動影響評価に向けた降雨分布の空間解像度が流出解析に与える影響に関する検討,土木学会論文集G(環境), 74(5), 147-156.

村田昭彦, 2018: 雲解像地域気候モデルの現状, 混相流, 32, 4, 424-431, doi:10.3811/jjmf.2018.T012.

Kitoh, A., 2019: Climate Change Projection over Turkey with a High-Resolution Atmospheric General Circulation Model, In book: Climate Change Impacts on Basin Agro-ecosystems, pp.19-32.

Fujita, M., R. Mizuta, M. Ishii, H. Endo, T. Sato, Y. Okada, S. Kawazoe, S. Sugimoto, K. Ishihara, and S. Watanabe, 2018: Precipitation changes in a climate with 2 K surface warming from large ensemble simulations using 60 km global and 20 km regional atmospheric models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 1, 435-442, doi:10.1029/2018GL079885.


Yoshida, K., R. Mizuta, and O. Arakawa, 2018: Intermodel differences in upwelling in the tropical tropopause layer among CMIP5 models, J. Geophys. Res., 123, 24, 13658-13675, doi:10.1029/2018JD029044.

鬼頭昭雄, 2018: 「酷暑」「豪雨」「猛烈台風」異常気象は今後も続くのか, 文藝春秋オピニオン 2019年の論点100, 文藝春秋 (11月7日発売), 88-89.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, H. Endo, and O. Arakawa, 2018: Changes in marine fog over the North Pacific under different climates in CMIP5 multimodel simulations, J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 123, 19, 10911-10924, doi:10.1029/2018JD028899.

鬼頭昭雄, 文藝春秋 2018年10月号巻頭随筆「来年以降も猛暑は続くのか?」(9月10日発売)

Ito, R., T. Aoyagi, N. Hori, M. Oh'izumi, H. Kawase, K. Dairaku, N. Seino, and H. Sasaki, 2018: Improvement of snow depth reproduction in Japanese urban areas by the inclusion of a snowpack scheme in the SPUC model, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 96, 6, 511-534, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2018-053.

Mau, N. D., N. M. Truong, H. Sasaki, and I. Takayabu, 2018: A study of seasonal rainfall in Vietnam at the end of 21st century according to the Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model, Vietnam Journal of Science, Technology and Engineering, 60, 3, 89-96, doi:10.31276/VJSTE.60(3).89.

Kusunoki, S., 2018: How will the onset and retreat of rainy season over East Asia change in future?, Atmospheric Science Letters, 19, 7, doi:10.1002/asl.824.

Suzuki-Parker, A., H. Kusaka, I. Takayabu, K. Dairaku, N. Ishizaki, and S. Ham, 2018: Contributions of GCM/RCM uncertainty in ensemble dynamical downscaling for precipitation in East Asian summer monsoon season, SOLA, 14, 97-104, doi:10.2151/sola.2018-017.

鬼頭昭雄, 2018: 地球温暖化予測技術の現状と将来, 『2018年版 気象年鑑』, (一財)気象業務支援センター, pp. 1-14.

鬼頭昭雄, 2018 (June), 地球温暖化はどこまで予測できるか?, 鈴木康弘・山岡耕春・寳馨編『おだやかで恵み豊かな地球のために ―地球人間 圏科学入門』, 古今書院, 270 pp. http://www.kokon.co.jp/book/b369724.html.

Endo, H., A. Kitoh, and H. Ueda, 2018: A unique feature of the Asian summer monsoon response to global warming: the role of different land-sea thermal contrast change between the lower and upper troposphere, SOLA, 14, 57-63, doi:10.2151/sola.2018-010.

Hibino, K., I. Takayabu, Y. Wakazuki and T. Ogata, 2018: Physical responses of convective heavy rainfall to future warming condition: case study of the Hiroshima event, Front. Earth Sci., 6:35, doi:10.3389/feart.2018.00035.


Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G.A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X. Yang and S. Yeager, 2018: Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5゚C, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 21, 11,895-11,903, doi:10.1029/2018GL079362.

Noda, S., K. Kodera, Y. Adachi, M. Deushi, A. Kitoh, R. Mizuta, S. Murakami, K. Yoshida, and S. Yoden, 2018: Mitigation of global cooling by stratospheric chemistry feedbacks in a simulation of the last glacial maximum, J. Geophys. Res. Atomospheres, 123, 17, 9378–9390, doi:10.1029/2017JD028017.

Ayarzagüena, B., L. M. Polvani, U. Langematz, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, N. Butchart, M. Dameris, M. Deushi, S. C. Hardiman, P. Jöckel, A. Klekociuk, M. Marchand, M. Michou, O. Morgenstern, F. M. O'Connor, L. D. Oman, D. A. Plummer, L. Revell, E. Rozanov, D. Saint-Martin, J. Scinocca, A. Stenke, K. Stone, Y. Yamashita, K. Yoshida, and G. Zeng, 2018: No robust evidence of future changes in major stratospheric sudden warmings: a multi-model assessment from CCMI, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 11277-11287, doi:10.5194/acp-18-11277-2018.

Maycock, A. C., K. Matthes, S. Tegtmeier, H. Schmidt, R. Thiéblemont, L. Hood, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, M. Deushi, P. Jöckel, O. Kirner, M. Kunze, M. Marchand, D. R. Marsh, M. Michou, D. Plummer, L. E. Revell, E. Rozanov, A. Stenke, Y. Yamashita, and K. Yoshida, 2018: The representation of solar cycle signals in stratospheric ozone – Part 2: Analysis of global models, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15, 11323-11343, doi:10.5194/acp-18-11323-2018.

Orbe, C., H. Yang, D. W. Waugh, G. Zeng, O. Morgenstern, D. E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Tilmes, D. A. Plummer, J. F. Scinnoca, B. josse, V. Marecal, P. Jöckel, L. D. Oman, S. E. Strahan, M. Deushi, T. Y. Tanaka, K. Yoshida, H. Akiyoshi, Y. Yamashita, A. Stenke, L. Revell, T. Sukhodolov, E. Rozanov, G. Pitari, D. Visioni, K. A. Stone, R. Schofield, and A. Banerjee, 2018: Large-scale tropospheric transport in the chemistry-climate model initiative (CCMI) simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 10, 7217-7235, doi:10.5194/acp-18-7217-2018.

WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group, 2018: Global Sea-Level Budget 1993–Present, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 3, 1551–1590, doi:10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018.

Jamaluddin, A. F., F. Tangang, J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, H. Sasaki, and I. Takayabu, 2018: Investigating the mechanisms of diurnal rainfall variability over Peninsular Malaysia using the non-hydrostatic regional climate model, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 130, 6, 611–633, doi:10.1007/s00703-017-0541-x.


平成29年度  論文・著書・その他

Kawase, H., A. Yamazaki, H. Iida, K. Aoki, W. Shimada, H. Sasaki, A. Murata, and M. Nosaka, Simulation of extremely small amounts of snow observed at high elevations over the Japanese Northern Alps in the 2015/16 winter, SOLA, 14, 39-45, doi:10.2151/sola.2018-007.

Butchart, N., J. Anstey, K. Hamilton, S. Osprey, C. McLandress, A. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y.-H. Kim, F. Lott, J. Scinocca, T. Stockdale, M. Andrews, O. Bellprat, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C.-C. Chen, H.-Y. Chun, M. Dobrynin, R. Garcia, J. Garcia-Serrano, L. Gray, L. Holt, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, H. Pohlmann, J. Richter, A. Scaife, V. Schenzinger, F. Serva, S. Versick, S. Watanabe, K. Yoshida, and S. Yukimoto, 2018: Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi), Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1009・032, doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1009-2018.

Niwano, M., T. Aoki, A. Hashimoto, S. Matoba, S. Yamaguchi, T. Tanikawa, K. Fujita, A. Tsushima, Y. Iizuka, R. Shimada, and M. Hori, 2018: NHM-SMAP: spatially and temporally high-resolution nonhydrostatic atmospheric model coupled with detailed snow process model for Greenland Ice Sheet, The Cryosphere, 12, 635-655, doi:10.5194/tc-12-635-2018.

Sinha, P. R., Y. Kondo, K. Goto-Azuma, Y. Tsukagawa, K. Fukuda, M. Koike, S. Ohata, N. Moteki, T. Mori, N. Oshima, E. J. Forland, M. Irwin, J.-C. Gallet, and C. A. Pedersen, 2018: Seasonal progression of the deposition of black carbon by snowfall at Ny-Alesund, Spitsbergen, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere, 123, 997-1016, doi:10.1002/2017JD028027.

Kawase, H., T. Sasai, T. Yamazaki, R. Ito, K. Dairaku, S. Sugimoto, H. Sasaki, A. Murata, and M. Nosaka, 2018: Characteristics of synoptic conditions for heavy snowfall in western to northeastern Japan analyzed by the 5-km regional climate ensemble experiments, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 96, 2, 161-178, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2018-022.

Kanada, S., S. Tsujino, H. Aiki, M. Yoshioka, Y. Miyazawa, K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2017: Impacts of SST patterns on rapid intensification of Typhoon Megi (2010), Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 24, 13245-13262, doi:10.1002/2017JD027252.

Kanada, S., K. Tsuboki, H. Aiki, S. Tsujino, and I. Takayabu, 2017: Future enhancement of heavy rainfall events associated with a typhoon in the midlatitude regions, SOLA, 2017, 13, 246-251, doi:10.2151/sola.2017-045.

Tompkins, A. M., M. Ines Ortiz de Zarate, R. I. Saurral, C. Vera, C. Saulo, W. J. Merryfield, M. Sigmond, W.-S. Lee, J. Baehr, A. Braun, A. Butler, M. Deque, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Gordon, A. A. Scaife, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, T. Ose, B. Kirtman, A. Kumar, W. A. Muller, A. Pirani, T. Stockdale, M. Rixen, and T. Yasuda, 2017: The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: providing open access to seasonal forecast ensembles from centers around the globe, BAMS., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0209.1.


Murata, A., H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, M. Nosaka, T. Aoyagi, M. Oh’izumi, N. Seino, F. Shido, K. Hibino, K. Ishihara, H. Murai, S. Yasui, S. Wakamatsu, and I. Takayabu, 2017: Projection of future climate change over Japan in ensemble simulations using a convection-permitting regional climate model with urban canopy, SOLA, 13, 219-223, doi:10.2151/sola.2017-040.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, and M. J. Webb, 2017: Interpretation of factors controlling low cloud cover and low cloud feedback using a unified predictive index, J. Climate, 30, 9119-9131, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0825.1.

Kaiho, K., and N. Oshima, 2017: Site of asteroid impact changed the history of life on Earth: the low probability of mass extinction, Scientific Reports, 7, 14855, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-14199-x.

Kageyama, M., S. Albani, P. Braconnot, S. P. Harrison, P. O. Hopcroft, R. F. Ivanovic, F. Lambert, O. Marti, W. R. Peltier, J.-Y. Peterschmitt, D. M. Roche, L. Tarasov, X. Zhang, E. C. Brady, A. M. Haywood, A. N. LeGrande, D. J. Lunt, N. M. Mahowald, U. Mikolajewicz, K. H. Nisancioglu, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, H. Renssen, R. A. Tomas, Q. Zhang, A. Abe-Ouchi, P. J. Bartlein, J. Cao, Q. Li, G. Lohmann, R. Ohgaito, X. Shi, E. Volodin, K. Yoshida, X. Zhang, and W. Zheng, 2017: The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 ・Part 4: Scientific objectives and experimental design of the PMIP4-CMIP6 Last Glacial Maximum experiments and PMIP4 sensitivity experiments, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4035-4055, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4035-2017.

Kajino, M., H. Ueda, Z. Han, R. Kudo, Y. Inomata, H. Kaku, 2017: Synergy between air pollution and urban meteorological changes through aerosol-radiation-diffusion feedback―A case study of Beijing in January 2013, Atmospheric Environment, 171, 98-110, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.10.018.

Yoshida, K., M. Sugi, R. Mizuta, H. Murakami, and M. Ishii, 2017: Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in high-resolution large-ensemble simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 19, 9910-9917, doi:10.1002/2017GL075058.


Ishii, M., Y. Fukuda, H. Hirahara, S. Yasui, T. Suzuki, and K. Sato, 2017: Accuracy of global upper ocean heat content estimation expected from present observational data sets, SOLA, 13, 163-167, doi:10.2151/sola.2017-030.

Ose, T., 2017: Future precipitation change during summer in East Asia and model dependence in high-resolution MRI-AGCM experiments, Hydrological Research Letters, 11, 3, 168-174, doi:10.3178/hrl.11.168.

Johnson, G. C., J. M. Lyman, T. Boyer, C. M. Domingues, J. Gilson, M. Ishii, R. Killick, D. Monselesan, and S. E. Wijffels, 2017: Ocean heat content, State of the Climate in 2016, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98 (8), S66-S69, doi:10.1175/2017BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

鬼頭昭雄, 2017: ヒプシサーマル期と近年温暖期の気候要因比較.「気候変動の事典」, 朝倉書店, 338-341.

Mizuta, R., A. Murata, M. Ishii, H. Shiogama, K. Hibino, N. Mori, O. Arakawa, Y. Imada, K. Yoshida, T. Aoyagi, H. Kawase, M. Mori, Y. Okada, T. Shimura, T. Nagatomo, M. Ikeda, H. Endo, M. Nosaka, M. Arai, C. Takahashi, K. Tanaka, T. Takemi, Y. Tachikawa, K. Temur, Y. Kamae, M. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, A. Kitoh, I. Takayabu, E. Nakakita, and M. Kimoto, 2017: Over 5,000 years of ensemble future climate simulations by 60-km global and 20-km regional atmospheric models, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1383-1398, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0099.1.

鬼頭昭雄, 2017: GCM中の南極の雪と氷床, 気象研究ノート第233号「南極氷床と大気物質循環・気候」, 322,411-423

鬼頭昭雄, 2017: 温暖化気候下における熱中症, 給排水設備研究, 34, 2, 8-11, 2017/7/1.


鬼頭昭雄, 2017: 変わりゆく気候 気象のしくみと温暖化 NHKカルチャーラジオ 科学と人間, NHK出版

Ha, K.-J., J.-Y. Lee, B. Wang, S.-P. Xie, and A. Kitoh, 2017: Asian monsoon climate change - Understanding and prediction, Asia-Pac. J., Atmos. Sci, 53, 2, 179-180, 2017, doi:10.1007/s13143-017-0056-x.

Matsueda, M. and H. Endo, 2017: The robustness of future changes in Northern Hemisphere blocking: A large ensemble projection with multiple sea surface temperature patterns, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 5158-5166, doi:10.1002/2017GL073336.

Kusunoki, S., 2017: Future changes in global precipitation projected by the atmospheric model MRI-AGCM3.2H with a 60-km size, Atmosphere, 8, 5, 93, 2017/5/21, doi:10.3390/atmos8050093.

Pinzon, R., K. Hibino, I. Takayabu, T. Nakaegawa, 2017: Virtually experiencing future climate changes in Central America with MRI-AGCM: climate analogues study, Hydrological Research Letters, 11, 2, 106-113, doi:10.3178/hrl.11.106.

Okada, Y., T. Takemi, H. Ishikawa, S. Kusunoki, and R. Mizuta, 2017: Future changes in atmospheric conditions for the seasonal evolution of the baiu as revealed from projected AGCM experiments, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 95, 4, 239-260, 2017/4/26, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2017-013.