令和2年度  論文・著書・その他

Wang, B., M. Biasutti, M. P. Byrne, C. Castro, C.-P. Chang, K. Cook, R. Fu, A. M. Grimm, K.-J. Ha, H. Hendon, A. Kitoh, R. Krishnan, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, J. Liu, A. Moise, S. Pascale, M. K. Roxy, A. Seth, C.-H. Sui, A. Turner, S. Yang, K.-S. Yun, L. Zhang, and T. Zhou, 2021: Monsoons Climate Change Assessment, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 102(1), E1-E19, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0335.1.

Hong, C.-C., C.-H. Tsou, P.-C. Hsu, K.-C. Chen, H.-C. Liang, H.-H. Hsu, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2020: Future changes in the tropical cyclone intensity and frequency over the western North Pacific based on 20-km HiRAM and MRI models, J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0417.1 .

Yamaguchi, M., and S. Maeda, 2020: Slowdown of typhoon translation speeds in Mid-latitudes in September influenced by the Pacific decadal oscillation and global warming, JMSJ, 98, 6, 1321-1334, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-068.

Kawai, H., and S. Shige, 2020: Marine Low Clouds and Their Parameterization in Climate Models, JMSJ, 98, 6, 1097-1127, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-059 (early online release).

Ito, R., T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Comparison of regional characteristics of land precipitation climatology projected by an MRI-AGCM multi-cumulus scheme and multi-SST ensemble with CMIP5 multi-model ensemble projections, PEPS, 7, 77, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00394-4.

今田由紀子, 2020: 異常気象が異常でなくなった世界, 岩波書店, 世界 2020年12月号, 2020年11月7日.

Kitoh, A., and H. Endo, 2020: Future Changes in Global Monsoon Precipitation and their Uncertainty: Results from 20-km and 60-km MRI-AGCM Ensemble Simulations. In: C.-P. Chang, K.-J. Ha, R. H. Johnson, D. Kim, G. N.-C. Lau, and B. Wang (eds.), The Multiscale Global Monsoon System. World Scientific Publishing, ISBN 978-981-121-659-6, pp.343-353, doi:10.1142/11723.

Couldrey, M. P., J. M. Gregory, F. B. Dias, P. Dobrohotoff, C. M. Domingues, O. Garuba, S. M. Griffies, H. Haak, A. Hu, M. Ishii, J. Jungclaus, A. Köhl, S. J. Marsland, S. Ojha, O. A. Saenko, A. Savita, A. Shao, D. Stammer, T. Suzuki, A. Todd, and L. Zanna, 2020: What causes the spread of model projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change in response to greenhouse gas forcing?, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05471-4.

Martinez, M. M., T. Nakaegawa, R. Pinzón, S. Kusunoki, R. Gordón, and J. E. Sanchez-Galan, 2020: Using a Statistical Crop Model to Predict Maize Yield by the End-Of-Century for the Azuero Region in Panama, Atmosphere, 11(10), 1097, doi:10.3390/atmos11101097.

Ito, R., T. Ose, H. Endo, R. Mizuta, K. Yoshida, A. Kitoh, and T. Nakaegawa, 2020: Seasonal characteristics of future climate change over Japan and the associated atmospheric circulation anomalies in global model experiments, Hydrol. Res. Lett., 14(4), 130-135, doi:10.3178/hrl.14.130.

Imada, Y., H. Kawase, M. Watanabe, M. Arai, H. Shiogama, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Advanced risk-based event attribution for heavy regional rainfall events, Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3, 37, doi:10.1038/s41612-020-00141-y.

Ishii, M., and N. Mori, 2020: d4PDF: large-ensemble and high-resolution climate simulations for global warming risk assessment, SPEPS, 7, 58 (2020), doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00367-7.

Kusunoki, S., and R. Mizuta, 2021: Future changes in rainy season over East Asia projected by massive ensemble simulations with a high-resolution global atmospheric model, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 99, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2021-005 (Early Online Release).

Varghese, S. J., S. Surendran, B. Ajithkumar, K. Rajendran, and A. Kitoh, 2020: Future changes in rice yield over Kerala using climate change scenario from high resolution global climate model projection, Journal of Earth System Science, 129, 192, doi:10.1007/s12040-020-01459-0.

Schuckmann, K. V., L. Cheng, M. D. Palmer, J. Hansen, C. Tassone, V. Aich, S. Adusumilli, H. Beltrami, T. Boyer, F. J. Cuesta-Valero, D. Desbruyères, C. Domingues, A. García-García, P. Gentine, J. Gilson, M. Gorfer, L. Haimberger, M. Ishii, G. C. Johnson, R. Killik, B. A. King, G. Kirchengast, N. Kolodziejczyk, J. Lyman, B. Marzeion, M. Mayer, M. Monier, D. P. Monselesan, S. Purkey, D. Roemmich, A. Schweiger, S. I. Seneviratne, A. Shepherd, D. A. Slater, A. K. Steiner, F. Straneo, M.-L. Timmermans and S. E. Wijffels, 2020: Heat stored in the Earth system: where does the energy go?, Earth System Science Data (ESSD), 12, 2013-2041, doi:10.5194/essd-12-2013-2020.

Kawai, H., and T. Koshiro, 2020: Does Radiative Cooling of Stratocumulus Strengthen Summertime Subtropical Highs?, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Earth System Modelling/WMO, 50, 7.11-7.12.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, and S. Yukimoto, 2020: Relationship between shortwave radiation bias over the Southern Ocean and the ITCZ in MRI-ESM2, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Earth System Modelling/WMO, 50, 7.09-7.10.

Koshiro, T., H. Kawai, and S. Yukimoto, 2020: Impact of cloud microphysics parameter on 20th century warming simulated in MRI-CGCM3, CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Earth System Modelling, 50, 7.13-7.14.

Ohba, M., and H. Kawase, 2020: Rain-on-Snow events in Japan as projected by a large ensemble of regional climate simulations, Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05419-8.

Ngai, S. T., H. Sasaki, A. Murata, M. Nosaka, J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, Supari, E. Salimun, F. Tangang, 2020: Extreme rainfall projections for Malaysia at the end of 21st century using the high resolution Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model (NHRCM), SOLA, 16, 132-139, doi.org/10.2151/sola.2020-023.

Oshima, N., S. Yukimoto, M. Deushi, T. Koshiro, H. Kawai, T. Y. Tanaka, and K. Yoshida, 2020: Global and Arctic Effective Radiative Forcing of Anthropogenic Gases and Aerosols in MRI-ESM2.0, PEPS, 7, 38, doi.org/10.1186/s40645-020-00348-w.

Malcolm, J. R., J. Camp, J. Seddon, P. L. Vidale, K. Hodges, B. Vannière, J. Mecking, R. Haarsma, A. Bellucci, E. Scoccimarro, L.-P. Caron, F. Chauvin, L. Terray, S. Valcke, M.-P. Moine, D. Putrasahan, C. D. Roberts, R. Senan, C. Zarzycki, P. Ullrich, Y. Yamada, R. Mizuta, C. Kodama, D. Fu, Q. Zhang, G. Danabasoglu, N. Rosenbloom, H. Wang, and L. Wu, 2020: Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclones using the CMIP6 HighResMIP Multimodel Ensemble, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 14, doi:10.1029/2020GL088662.

Miyasaka, T., H. Kawase, T. Nakaegawa, Y. Imada, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Future projections of heavy precipitation in Kanto and associated weather patterns using large ensemble high-resolution simulations, SOLA, 16, 125-131, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-022.

鬼頭昭雄, 2020: 地球の気候変動、何がどうしてそうなるの?, 社会運動, 2020年7月号, 12-23.

Nosaka, M., M. Ishii, H. Shiogama, R. Mizuta, A. Murata, H. Kawase, and H. Sasaki, 2020: Scalability of future climate changes across Japan examined with large-ensemble simulations at +1.5 K, +2 K, and +4 K global warming levels, PEPS, 7, 27, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-00341-3.

Mizuta, R., and H. Endo, 2020: Projected changes in extreme precipitation in a 60-km AGCM large ensemble and their dependence on return periods, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 13, doi:10.1029/2019GL086855.

Yamaguchi, M., and S. Maeda, 2020: Increase in the number of tropical cyclones approaching Tokyo since 1980, JMSJ, 98, 775-786, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2020-039.

鬼頭昭雄, 2020: 待ったなしの気候変動, 月刊保団連, 2020年5月号, 24-29.

Sugi, M., Y. Yamada, K. Yoshida, R. Mizuta, M. Nakano, C. Kodama, and M. Satoh, 2020: Future changes in the global frequency of tropical cyclone seeds, SOLA, 16, 70-74, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-012.


令和元年度  論文・著書・その他

Shiogama, H., R. Ito, Y. Imada, T. Nakaegawa, N. Hirota, N. N. Ishizaki, K. Takahashi, I. Takayabu, and S. Emori, 2020: Selecting future climate projections of surface solar radiation in Japan, SOLA, 16, 75-79, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-013.

Kawase, H., T. Yamazaki, S. Sugimoto, T. Sasai, R. Ito, T. Hamada, M. Kuribayashi, M. Fujita, A. Murata, M. Nosaka, and H. Sasaki, 2020: Changes in extremely heavy and light snow-cover winters due to global warming over high mountainous areas in central Japan, PEPS, 7, Article number: 10, doi:10.1186/s40645-020-0322-x.

Nakagawa, Y., Y. Onoue, S. Kawahara, F. Araki, K. Koyamada, D. Matsuoka, Y. Ishikawa, M. Fujita, S. Sugimoto, Y. Okada, S. Kawazoe, Sh. Watanabe, M. Ishii, R. Mizuta, A. Murata, and H. Kawase, 2020: Development of a system for efficient content-based retrieval to analyze large volumes of climate data, PEPS, 7, 9, doi:10.1186/s40645-019-0315-9.

Takayabu, I., N. Ishizaki, T. Nakaegawa, H. Sasaki, and S. Ratjiranukool: Potential of representing the diurnal cycle of local-scale precipitation in Thailand using 5-km and 2-km grid regional climate models, Progress in Earth and Planetary Science (submitted).

Ito, R., H. Shiogama, T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Uncertainties in climate change projections covered by the ISIMIP and CORDEX model subsets from CMIP5, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 859–872, doi:10.5194/gmd-13-859-2020.

Kawase, H., Y. Imada, H. Tsuguti, T. Nakaegawa, N. Seino, A. Murata, and I. Takayabu, 2019: The Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 in Japan enhanced by historical warming, Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 101(1), S109-S114, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0173-1.

Kajino, M., S. Hayashida, T. T. Sekiyama, M. Deushi, K. Ito, and X. Liu, 2019: Detectability assessment of a satellite sensor for lower tropospheric ozone responses to its precursors emission changes in East Asian summer, Scientific Reports, 9, 19629, doi:10.1038/s41598-019-55759-7.

Sun, N., T. Zhou, X. Chen, H. Endo, A. Kitoh, and B. Wu, 2020: Amplified tropical Pacific rainfall variability related to background SST warming, Clim. Dyn., 54, 2387-2402, doi:10.1007/s00382-020-05119-3.

Meyssignac, B., T. Boyer, Z. Zhao, M. Z. Hakuba, F. W. Landerer, D. Stammer, A. Köhl, S. Kato, T. L'Ecuyer, M. Ablain, J. P. Abraham, A. Blazquez, A. Cazenave, J. A. Church, R. Cowley, L. Cheng, C. M. Domingues, D. Giglio, V. Gouretski, M. Ishii, G. C. Johnson, R. E. Killick, D. Legler, W. Llovel, J. Lyman, M. D. Palmer, S. Piotrowicz, S. G. Purkey, D. Roemmich, R. Roca, A. Savita, K. von Schuckmann, S. Speich, G. Stephens, G. Wang, S. E. Wijffels, and N. Zilberman, 2019: Measuring Global Ocean Heat Content to estimate the Earth Energy Imbalance, Front. Mar. Sci., 6, 432, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00432.

Takemi, T., and R. Ito, 2020: Benefits of High-Resolution Downscaling Experiments for Assessing Strong Wind Hazard at Local Scales in Complex Terrain: A Case Study of Typhoon Songda (2004), PEPS, 7, 4, doi:10.1186/s40645-019-0317-7.

山崎剛, 佐々井崇博, 川瀬宏明, 杉本志織, 大楽浩司, 伊東瑠衣, 佐々木秀孝, 藤田実季子, 2019: 5km力学的ダウンスケーリングデータセット(SI-CAT DDS5TK)の概要, シミュレーション学会誌, 38, 145-149.

Qian, Y., H. Murakami, M. Nakano, P. -C. Hsu, T. L. Delworth, S. B. Kapnick, V. Ramaswamy, T. Mochizuki, Y. Morioka, T. Doi, T. Kataoka, T. Nasuno, and K. Yoshida, 2019: On the mechanisms of the active 2018 tropical cyclone season in the North Pacific, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 12293–12302, doi:10.1029/2019GL084566.

Smith, A. K., L. A. Holt, R. R. Garcia, J. A. Anstey, F. Serva, N. Butchart, S. Osprey, A. C. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y. -H. Kim, F. Lott, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C. -C. Chen, H. -Y. Chun, L. Gray, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, J. Richter, S. Versick, V. Schenzinger, S. Watanabe, and K. Yoshida, 2019: The equatorial stratospheric semiannual oscillation and time-mean winds in QBOi models, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.3690. accepted.

Hatsuzuka, D., T. Sato, K. Yoshida, M. Ishii, and R. Mizuta, 2020: Regional projection of tropical-cyclone-induced extreme precipitation around Japan based on large ensemble simulations, SOLA, doi:10.2151/sola.2020-005.

Yamaguchi, M., J. C. L. Chan, I.-J. Moon, K. Yoshida, and R. Mizuta, 2020: Global Warming Changes Tropical Cyclone Translation Speed, Nature Communications, 11, 47, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-13902-y.

Nakaegawa, T., R. Pinzon, J. Fabrega, J. A. Cuevas, H. A. De Lima, E. Cordoba, K. Nakayama, J. I. B. Lao, A. L. Melo, D. A. Gonzalez, and S. Kusunoki, 2019: Seasonal changes of the diurnal variation of precipitation in the upper Río Chagres basin, Panamá, PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0224662.

川瀬宏明, 「地球温暖化で雪は減るのか増えるのか問題 -そろそろ、これからの雪の話をしよう!-」, ベレ出版, 2019年12月25日

Varghese, S. J., S. Surendran, K. Rajendran, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Future projections of Indian Summer Monsoon under multiple RCPs using a high resolution global climate model multiforcing ensemble simulations, Clim. Dyn., pp1-14, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05059-7.

鬼頭昭雄, 「激発する極端気象」, 世界, 岩波書店, 2019年12月号, No.927, 91-100, 2019年12月1日

Chen, C.-A., H.-H. Hsu, C.-C. Hong, P.-G. Chiu, C.-Y. Tu, S.-J. Lin, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Seasonal precipitation change in the western North Pacific and East Asia under global warming in two high-resolution AGCMs, Clim. Dyn., 53, 9-10, 5583-5605, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04883-1.

Kanada, S., H. Aiki, K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2019: Future Changes in Typhoon-related Precipitation in Eastern Hokkaido, SOLA, 15, 244-249, doi:10.2151/sola.2019-044.

Ose, T., 2019: Future changes in summertime East Asian monthly precipitation in CMIP5 and their dependence on present-day model climatology, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 1041-1053, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-055.

Yukimoto, S., H. Kawai, T. Koshiro, N. Oshima, K. Yoshida, S. Urakawa, H. Tsujino, M. Deushi, T. Tanaka, M. Hosaka, S. Yabu, H. Yoshimura, E. Shindo, R. Mizuta, A. Obata, Y. Adachi, and M. Ishii, 2019: The Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model version 2.0, MRI-ESM2.0: Description and basic evaluation of the physical component, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 931-965, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-051.

Watanabe, S. I., H. Tsujino, A. Murata, and M. Ishii, 2019: Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature Improved by a High-Resolution Ocean Model on Summer Precipitation in a Dynamical Downscaling over Japan, SOLA, 15, 183-188, doi:10.2151/sola.2019-033.

Watanabe, S. I., A. Murata, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, and M. Nosaka, 2019: Future projection of tropical cyclone precipitation over Japan with a high-resolution regional climate model, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 805-820, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-045.

鬼頭昭雄, 「特集/地球温暖化と台風 ~その関連性と災害リスクへの対応~ 地球温暖化で台風はどうなる?」, 一般財団法人 地球・人間環境フォーラム, 情報誌グローバルネット, 345号, 2019年8月号, 2019年8月16日

坪木和久, 「特集/豪雨・猛暑と温暖化 2018年災害の分析と予測 2018年の西日本豪雨をもたらした広域の水蒸気輸送-2017年の豪雨と比較して」, 岩波書店, 科学 2019年7月号, 2019年6月25日

今田由紀子, 「特集/豪雨・猛暑と温暖化 2018年災害の分析と予測 温暖化がなければ2018年の猛暑はなかった」, 岩波書店, 科学 2019年7月号, 2019年6月25日

Lamy, K., T. Portafaix, B. Josse, C. Brogniez, S. Godin-Beekmann, H. Bencherif, L. Revell, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, M. I. Hegglin, P. Jöckel, O. Kirner, B. Liley, V. Marecal, O. Morgenstern, A. Stenke, G. Zeng, N. L. Abraham, A. T. Archibald, N. Butchart, M. P. Chipperfield, G. Di Genova, M. Deushi, S. S. Dhomse, R.-M. Hu, D. Kinnison, M. Kotkamp, R. McKenzie, M. Michou, F. M. O'Connor, L. D. Oman, G. Pitari, D. A. Plummer, J. A. Pyle, E. Rozanov, D. Saint-Martin, K. Sudo, T. Y. Tanaka, D. Visioni, and K. Yoshida, 2019: Clear-sky ultraviolet radiation modelling using output from the Chemistry Climate Model Initiative, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 10087-10110, doi:10.5194/acp-19-10087-2019.

Kawai, H., S. Yukimoto, T. Koshiro, N. Oshima, T. Tanaka, H. Yoshimura, and R. Nagasawa, 2019: Significant Improvement of Cloud Representation in the Global Climate Model MRI-ESM2, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 2875-2897, doi:10.5194/gmd-12-2875-2019.

Kusunoki, S., T. Nakaegawa, R. Pinzon, J. E. Sanchez-Galan, and J. R. Fabrega, 2019: Future precipitation changes over Panama projected with the atmospheric global model MRI-AGCM3.2. Climate Dynamics, 53, 7-8, 5019-5034, doi:10.1007/s00382-019-04842-W.

Naoe, H., and K. Yoshida, 2019: Influence of quasi-biennial oscillation on the boreal winter extratropical stratosphere in QBOi experiments, Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 145, 723, July Part B, 2755-2771, doi:10.1002/qj.3591.

Imada, Y., M. Watanabe, H. Kawase, H. Shiogama, and M. Arai, 2019: The July 2018 high temperature event in Japan could not have happened without human-induced global warming, SOLA, 15A, 8-11(TBA), doi: 10.2151/sola.15A-002.

Kawase, H., Y. Imada, H. Sasaki, T. Nakaegawa, A. Murata, M. Nosaka, and I. Takayabu, 2019: Contribution of historical global warming to local-scale heavy precipitation in western Japan estimated by large ensemble high-resolution simulations, J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 124, 12, 6093-6103, doi: 10.1029/2018JD030155.

Mei, W., Y. Kamae, S. Xie, and K. Yoshida, 2019: Variability and predictability of North Atlantic hurricane frequency in a large ensemble of high-resolution atmospheric simulations, J. Climate, 32, 11, 3153–3167, doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0554.1.

Kajino, M., M. Deushi, T. T. Sekiyama, N. Oshima, K. Yumimoto, T. Y. Tanaka, J. Ching, A. Hashimoto, T. Yamamoto, M. Ikegami, A. Kamada, M. Miyashita, Y. Inomata, S. Shima, A. Takami, A. Shimizu, S. Hatakeyama, Y. Sadanaga, H. Irie, K. Adachi, Y. Zaizen, Y. Igarashi, H. Ueda, T. Maki, and M. Mikami, 2019: NHM-Chem, the Japan Meteorological Agency’s regional meteorology ・chemistry model: model evaluations toward the consistent predictions of the chemical, physical, and optical properties of aerosols, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 2, 337-374, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-020.

Surendran, S., S. Gadgil, K. Rajendran, S. J. Varghese, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Monsoon rainfall over India in June and link with Northwest tropical Pacific, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 135, 3-4, 1195-1213, doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2440-6.

川瀬宏明, 「地球温暖化が日本の雪に及ぼす影響」, 農業および園芸, 第94巻, 第4号, 2019年4月1日

Kimura, N., H. Kiri, S. Kanada, I. Kitagawa, I. yoshinaga, and H. Aiki, 2019: Flood Simulations in Mid-Latitude Agricultural Land Using Regional Current and Future Extreme Weathers, Water, 11, 2421.

Kanada, S., K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2020: Future Changes of Tropical Cyclones in the Midlatitudes in 4-km-mesh Downscaling Experiments from Large-Ensemble Simulations, SOLA (Accepted on February 20, 2020).

仲江川敏之,日比野研志,高薮出,2019: 気候アナログで実感する今世紀末の温暖化状況下におけるロシア主要7都市の気候, 土木学会論文集B1 (水工学), Vol.75, No.2, I_1045-I_1050.

Tinumbang, A.F.A., K. Yorozu, Y. Tachikawa, Y. Ichikawa, H. Sasaki, T. Nakaegawa, 2019: Analysis of runoff characteristics generated by land surface models and their impacts on river discharge, Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineering, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering).


平成30年度  論文・著書・その他

Jamaluddin, A. F., F. Tangang, J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, H. Sasaki, and I. Takayabu, 2018: Investigating the mechanisms of diurnal rainfall variability over Peninsular Malaysia using the non-hydrostatic regional climate model, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 130, 6, 611–633, doi:10.1007/s00703-017-0541-x.

Mori, N., T. Shimura, K. Yoshida, R. Mizuta, Y. Okada, M. Fujita, T. Khujanazarov, and E. Nakakita, 2019: Future changes in extreme storm surges based on mega-ensemble projection using 60-km resolution atmospheric global circulation model, Coastal Engineering, 61, 3, 295-307, doi:10.1080/21664250.2019.1586290.

Arpornrat, T., S. Ratjiranukool, P. Ratjiranukool, and H. Sasaki, 2018: Evaluation of Southwest Monsoon Change over Thailand by High-resolution Regional Climate Model under High RCP Emission Scenario, Journal of Physics: Conference Series, Volume 1144, conference 1, doi:10.1088/1742-6596/1144/1/012112 .

Ose, T., 2019: Characteristics of future changes in summertime East Asian monthly precipitation in MRI-AGCM global warming experiments, Journal of Meteorological Society of Japan, 97, 2, 317-335, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-018.

Huang, W.-R., P.-H. Huang, Y.-H. Chang, C.-T. Cheng, H.-H. Hsu, C.-Y. Tu, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Dynamical downscaling simulation and future projection of extreme precipitation activities in Taiwan during the Mei-Yu season, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 2, 481-499, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-028.

Murata, A., S. I. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, and M. Nosaka, 2019: The development of a resolution-independent tropical cyclone detection scheme for high-resolution climate model simulations, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 519-531, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-035.

川瀬宏明, 2019: 地球温暖化が日本の雪に及ぼす影響, 農業および園芸, 94, 296-304.

川瀬宏明, 飯田肇, 青木一真, 島田亙, 野坂真也, 村田昭彦, 佐々木秀孝, 2019:立山黒部アルペンルートにおける積雪観測と異なる水平解像度の非静力学地域気候モデル(NHRCM)を用いた積雪再現実験の比較,地学雑誌,128, 77-92, doi:10.5026/jgeography.128.77.

Kitoh, A., and H. Endo, 2019: Future changes in precipitation extremes associated with tropical cyclones projected by large-ensemble simulations, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 97, 1, 141-152, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2019-007.

Rahman, M. M., N. Ferdousi, S. M. A. Abdullah, S. Kusunoki, and A. Islam, 2019: Recent climate simulation over SAARC region including Bangladesh using high resolution AGCM, Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 55, 115-134, DOI: 10.1007/s13143-018-0077-0 .

Surendran, S., S. Gadgil, K. Rajendran, S. J. Varghese, and A. Kitoh, 2019: Monsoon rainfall over India in June and link with Northwest tropical Pacific, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 135, 3-4, 1195-1213, doi:10.1007/s00704-018-2440-6.


村田昭彦, 2018: 雲解像地域気候モデルの現状, 混相流, 32, 4, 424-431, doi:10.3811/jjmf.2018.T012.

Morimoto, J., K. Nakagawa, K. T. Takano, M. Aiba, M. Oguro, Y. Furukawa, Y. Mishima, K. Ogawa, R. Ito, T. Takemi, F. Nakamura, C. J. Peterson, 2019: Comparison of vulnerability to catastrophic wind between Abies plantation forests and natural mixed forests in northern Japan, Forestry: An International Journal of Forest Research, 92, 4, 436-443, doi:10.1093/forestry/cpy045.

Tsuguti, H., N. Seino, H. Kawase, Y. Imada, T. Nakaegawa, and I. Takayabu, 2019: Meteorological overview and mesoscale characteristics of the Heavy Rain Event of July 2018 in Japan, Land Slide, 16, 2, 363–371, doi10.1007/s10346-018-1098-6.

Widlansky, M. J., H. Annamalai, S. B. Gingerich, C. D. Storlazzi, J. J. Marra, K. I. Hodges, B. Choy and A. Kitoh, 2019: Tropical cyclone projections: Changing climate threats for Pacific Island defense installations, Climate and Society, 11, 3-15, doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-17-0112.1.

原田守啓,丸谷靖幸,伊東瑠衣,石崎紀子,川瀬宏明,大楽浩司,佐々木秀孝, 2018:JRA-55再解析データのダウンスケーリング実験における地形モデル選択が洪水流出解析に及ぼす影響, 土木学会論文集B1(水工学), 74(5), 103-108.

丸谷靖幸,原田守啓,伊東瑠衣,川瀬宏明,大楽浩司,佐々木秀孝, 2018:気候変動影響評価に向けた気候モデルおよび影響評価モデルの不確実性の評価,土木学会論文集B1(水工学), 74(5), 109-114.

丸谷靖幸,原田守啓,伊東瑠衣,川瀬宏明,大楽浩司,佐々木秀孝 2018:気候変動影響評価に向けた降雨分布の空間解像度が流出解析に与える影響に関する検討,土木学会論文集G(環境), 74(5), 147-156.

村田昭彦, 2018: 雲解像地域気候モデルの現状, 混相流, 32, 4, 424-431, doi:10.3811/jjmf.2018.T012.

Kitoh, A., 2019: Climate Change Projection over Turkey with a High-Resolution Atmospheric General Circulation Model, In book: Climate Change Impacts on Basin Agro-ecosystems, pp.19-32.

Fujita, M., R. Mizuta, M. Ishii, H. Endo, T. Sato, Y. Okada, S. Kawazoe, S. Sugimoto, K. Ishihara, and S. Watanabe, 2018: Precipitation changes in a climate with 2 K surface warming from large ensemble simulations using 60 km global and 20 km regional atmospheric models, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 1, 435-442, doi:10.1029/2018GL079885.


Yoshida, K., R. Mizuta, and O. Arakawa, 2018: Intermodel differences in upwelling in the tropical tropopause layer among CMIP5 models, J. Geophys. Res., 123, 24, 13658-13675, doi:10.1029/2018JD029044.

鬼頭昭雄, 2018: 「酷暑」「豪雨」「猛烈台風」異常気象は今後も続くのか, 文藝春秋オピニオン 2019年の論点100, 文藝春秋 (11月7日発売), 88-89.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, H. Endo, and O. Arakawa, 2018: Changes in marine fog over the North Pacific under different climates in CMIP5 multimodel simulations, J. Geophys. Res. Atmospheres, 123, 19, 10911-10924, doi:10.1029/2018JD028899.

鬼頭昭雄, 文藝春秋 2018年10月号巻頭随筆「来年以降も猛暑は続くのか?」(9月10日発売)

Ito, R., T. Aoyagi, N. Hori, M. Oh'izumi, H. Kawase, K. Dairaku, N. Seino, and H. Sasaki, 2018: Improvement of snow depth reproduction in Japanese urban areas by the inclusion of a snowpack scheme in the SPUC model, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 96, 6, 511-534, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2018-053.

Mau, N. D., N. M. Truong, H. Sasaki, and I. Takayabu, 2018: A study of seasonal rainfall in Vietnam at the end of 21st century according to the Non-Hydrostatic Regional Climate Model, Vietnam Journal of Science, Technology and Engineering, 60, 3, 89-96, doi:10.31276/VJSTE.60(3).89.

Kusunoki, S., 2018: How will the onset and retreat of rainy season over East Asia change in future?, Atmospheric Science Letters, 19, 7, doi:10.1002/asl.824.

Suzuki-Parker, A., H. Kusaka, I. Takayabu, K. Dairaku, N. Ishizaki, and S. Ham, 2018: Contributions of GCM/RCM uncertainty in ensemble dynamical downscaling for precipitation in East Asian summer monsoon season, SOLA, 14, 97-104, doi:10.2151/sola.2018-017.

鬼頭昭雄, 2018: 地球温暖化予測技術の現状と将来, 『2018年版 気象年鑑』, (一財)気象業務支援センター, pp. 1-14.

鬼頭昭雄, 2018 (June), 地球温暖化はどこまで予測できるか?, 鈴木康弘・山岡耕春・寳馨編『おだやかで恵み豊かな地球のために ―地球人間 圏科学入門』, 古今書院, 270 pp. http://www.kokon.co.jp/book/b369724.html.

Endo, H., A. Kitoh, and H. Ueda, 2018: A unique feature of the Asian summer monsoon response to global warming: the role of different land-sea thermal contrast change between the lower and upper troposphere, SOLA, 14, 57-63, doi:10.2151/sola.2018-010.

Hibino, K., I. Takayabu, Y. Wakazuki and T. Ogata, 2018: Physical responses of convective heavy rainfall to future warming condition: case study of the Hiroshima event, Front. Earth Sci., 6:35, doi:10.3389/feart.2018.00035.


Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G.A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X. Yang and S. Yeager, 2018: Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5゚C, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 21, 11,895-11,903, doi:10.1029/2018GL079362.

Noda, S., K. Kodera, Y. Adachi, M. Deushi, A. Kitoh, R. Mizuta, S. Murakami, K. Yoshida, and S. Yoden, 2018: Mitigation of global cooling by stratospheric chemistry feedbacks in a simulation of the last glacial maximum, J. Geophys. Res. Atomospheres, 123, 17, 9378–9390, doi:10.1029/2017JD028017.

Ayarzagüena, B., L. M. Polvani, U. Langematz, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, N. Butchart, M. Dameris, M. Deushi, S. C. Hardiman, P. Jöckel, A. Klekociuk, M. Marchand, M. Michou, O. Morgenstern, F. M. O'Connor, L. D. Oman, D. A. Plummer, L. Revell, E. Rozanov, D. Saint-Martin, J. Scinocca, A. Stenke, K. Stone, Y. Yamashita, K. Yoshida, and G. Zeng, 2018: No robust evidence of future changes in major stratospheric sudden warmings: a multi-model assessment from CCMI, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 11277-11287, doi:10.5194/acp-18-11277-2018.

Maycock, A. C., K. Matthes, S. Tegtmeier, H. Schmidt, R. Thiéblemont, L. Hood, H. Akiyoshi, S. Bekki, M. Deushi, P. Jöckel, O. Kirner, M. Kunze, M. Marchand, D. R. Marsh, M. Michou, D. Plummer, L. E. Revell, E. Rozanov, A. Stenke, Y. Yamashita, and K. Yoshida, 2018: The representation of solar cycle signals in stratospheric ozone – Part 2: Analysis of global models, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 15, 11323-11343, doi:10.5194/acp-18-11323-2018.

Orbe, C., H. Yang, D. W. Waugh, G. Zeng, O. Morgenstern, D. E. Kinnison, J.-F. Lamarque, S. Tilmes, D. A. Plummer, J. F. Scinnoca, B. josse, V. Marecal, P. Jöckel, L. D. Oman, S. E. Strahan, M. Deushi, T. Y. Tanaka, K. Yoshida, H. Akiyoshi, Y. Yamashita, A. Stenke, L. Revell, T. Sukhodolov, E. Rozanov, G. Pitari, D. Visioni, K. A. Stone, R. Schofield, and A. Banerjee, 2018: Large-scale tropospheric transport in the chemistry-climate model initiative (CCMI) simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 18, 10, 7217-7235, doi:10.5194/acp-18-7217-2018.

WCRP Global Sea Level Budget Group, 2018: Global Sea-Level Budget 1993–Present, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 3, 1551–1590, doi:10.5194/essd-10-1551-2018.

Jamaluddin, A. F., F. Tangang, J. X. Chung, L. Juneng, H. Sasaki, and I. Takayabu, 2018: Investigating the mechanisms of diurnal rainfall variability over Peninsular Malaysia using the non-hydrostatic regional climate model, Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 130, 6, 611–633, doi:10.1007/s00703-017-0541-x.


平成29年度  論文・著書・その他

Kawase, H., A. Yamazaki, H. Iida, K. Aoki, W. Shimada, H. Sasaki, A. Murata, and M. Nosaka, Simulation of extremely small amounts of snow observed at high elevations over the Japanese Northern Alps in the 2015/16 winter, SOLA, 14, 39-45, doi:10.2151/sola.2018-007.

Butchart, N., J. Anstey, K. Hamilton, S. Osprey, C. McLandress, A. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y.-H. Kim, F. Lott, J. Scinocca, T. Stockdale, M. Andrews, O. Bellprat, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C.-C. Chen, H.-Y. Chun, M. Dobrynin, R. Garcia, J. Garcia-Serrano, L. Gray, L. Holt, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, H. Pohlmann, J. Richter, A. Scaife, V. Schenzinger, F. Serva, S. Versick, S. Watanabe, K. Yoshida, and S. Yukimoto, 2018: Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi), Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1009・032, doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1009-2018.

Niwano, M., T. Aoki, A. Hashimoto, S. Matoba, S. Yamaguchi, T. Tanikawa, K. Fujita, A. Tsushima, Y. Iizuka, R. Shimada, and M. Hori, 2018: NHM-SMAP: spatially and temporally high-resolution nonhydrostatic atmospheric model coupled with detailed snow process model for Greenland Ice Sheet, The Cryosphere, 12, 635-655, doi:10.5194/tc-12-635-2018.

Sinha, P. R., Y. Kondo, K. Goto-Azuma, Y. Tsukagawa, K. Fukuda, M. Koike, S. Ohata, N. Moteki, T. Mori, N. Oshima, E. J. Forland, M. Irwin, J.-C. Gallet, and C. A. Pedersen, 2018: Seasonal progression of the deposition of black carbon by snowfall at Ny-Alesund, Spitsbergen, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere, 123, 997-1016, doi:10.1002/2017JD028027.

Kawase, H., T. Sasai, T. Yamazaki, R. Ito, K. Dairaku, S. Sugimoto, H. Sasaki, A. Murata, and M. Nosaka, 2018: Characteristics of synoptic conditions for heavy snowfall in western to northeastern Japan analyzed by the 5-km regional climate ensemble experiments, J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 96, 2, 161-178, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2018-022.

Kanada, S., S. Tsujino, H. Aiki, M. Yoshioka, Y. Miyazawa, K. Tsuboki, and I. Takayabu, 2017: Impacts of SST patterns on rapid intensification of Typhoon Megi (2010), Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122, 24, 13245-13262, doi:10.1002/2017JD027252.

Kanada, S., K. Tsuboki, H. Aiki, S. Tsujino, and I. Takayabu, 2017: Future enhancement of heavy rainfall events associated with a typhoon in the midlatitude regions, SOLA, 2017, 13, 246-251, doi:10.2151/sola.2017-045.

Tompkins, A. M., M. Ines Ortiz de Zarate, R. I. Saurral, C. Vera, C. Saulo, W. J. Merryfield, M. Sigmond, W.-S. Lee, J. Baehr, A. Braun, A. Butler, M. Deque, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, M. Gordon, A. A. Scaife, Y. Imada, M. Ishii, T. Ose, B. Kirtman, A. Kumar, W. A. Muller, A. Pirani, T. Stockdale, M. Rixen, and T. Yasuda, 2017: The Climate-system Historical Forecast Project: providing open access to seasonal forecast ensembles from centers around the globe, BAMS., doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0209.1.


Murata, A., H. Sasaki, H. Kawase, M. Nosaka, T. Aoyagi, M. Oh’izumi, N. Seino, F. Shido, K. Hibino, K. Ishihara, H. Murai, S. Yasui, S. Wakamatsu, and I. Takayabu, 2017: Projection of future climate change over Japan in ensemble simulations using a convection-permitting regional climate model with urban canopy, SOLA, 13, 219-223, doi:10.2151/sola.2017-040.

Kawai, H., T. Koshiro, and M. J. Webb, 2017: Interpretation of factors controlling low cloud cover and low cloud feedback using a unified predictive index, J. Climate, 30, 9119-9131, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0825.1.

Kaiho, K., and N. Oshima, 2017: Site of asteroid impact changed the history of life on Earth: the low probability of mass extinction, Scientific Reports, 7, 14855, doi:10.1038/s41598-017-14199-x.

Kageyama, M., S. Albani, P. Braconnot, S. P. Harrison, P. O. Hopcroft, R. F. Ivanovic, F. Lambert, O. Marti, W. R. Peltier, J.-Y. Peterschmitt, D. M. Roche, L. Tarasov, X. Zhang, E. C. Brady, A. M. Haywood, A. N. LeGrande, D. J. Lunt, N. M. Mahowald, U. Mikolajewicz, K. H. Nisancioglu, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, H. Renssen, R. A. Tomas, Q. Zhang, A. Abe-Ouchi, P. J. Bartlein, J. Cao, Q. Li, G. Lohmann, R. Ohgaito, X. Shi, E. Volodin, K. Yoshida, X. Zhang, and W. Zheng, 2017: The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 ・Part 4: Scientific objectives and experimental design of the PMIP4-CMIP6 Last Glacial Maximum experiments and PMIP4 sensitivity experiments, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4035-4055, doi:10.5194/gmd-10-4035-2017.

Kajino, M., H. Ueda, Z. Han, R. Kudo, Y. Inomata, H. Kaku, 2017: Synergy between air pollution and urban meteorological changes through aerosol-radiation-diffusion feedback―A case study of Beijing in January 2013, Atmospheric Environment, 171, 98-110, doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2017.10.018.

Yoshida, K., M. Sugi, R. Mizuta, H. Murakami, and M. Ishii, 2017: Future changes in tropical cyclone activity in high-resolution large-ensemble simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 19, 9910-9917, doi:10.1002/2017GL075058.


Ishii, M., Y. Fukuda, H. Hirahara, S. Yasui, T. Suzuki, and K. Sato, 2017: Accuracy of global upper ocean heat content estimation expected from present observational data sets, SOLA, 13, 163-167, doi:10.2151/sola.2017-030.

Ose, T., 2017: Future precipitation change during summer in East Asia and model dependence in high-resolution MRI-AGCM experiments, Hydrological Research Letters, 11, 3, 168-174, doi:10.3178/hrl.11.168.

Johnson, G. C., J. M. Lyman, T. Boyer, C. M. Domingues, J. Gilson, M. Ishii, R. Killick, D. Monselesan, and S. E. Wijffels, 2017: Ocean heat content, State of the Climate in 2016, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98 (8), S66-S69, doi:10.1175/2017BAMSStateoftheClimate.1.

鬼頭昭雄, 2017: ヒプシサーマル期と近年温暖期の気候要因比較.「気候変動の事典」, 朝倉書店, 338-341.

Mizuta, R., A. Murata, M. Ishii, H. Shiogama, K. Hibino, N. Mori, O. Arakawa, Y. Imada, K. Yoshida, T. Aoyagi, H. Kawase, M. Mori, Y. Okada, T. Shimura, T. Nagatomo, M. Ikeda, H. Endo, M. Nosaka, M. Arai, C. Takahashi, K. Tanaka, T. Takemi, Y. Tachikawa, K. Temur, Y. Kamae, M. Watanabe, H. Sasaki, A. Kitoh, I. Takayabu, E. Nakakita, and M. Kimoto, 2017: Over 5,000 years of ensemble future climate simulations by 60-km global and 20-km regional atmospheric models, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1383-1398, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0099.1.

鬼頭昭雄, 2017: GCM中の南極の雪と氷床, 気象研究ノート第233号「南極氷床と大気物質循環・気候」, 322,411-423

鬼頭昭雄, 2017: 温暖化気候下における熱中症, 給排水設備研究, 34, 2, 8-11, 2017/7/1.


鬼頭昭雄, 2017: 変わりゆく気候 気象のしくみと温暖化 NHKカルチャーラジオ 科学と人間, NHK出版

Ha, K.-J., J.-Y. Lee, B. Wang, S.-P. Xie, and A. Kitoh, 2017: Asian monsoon climate change - Understanding and prediction, Asia-Pac. J., Atmos. Sci, 53, 2, 179-180, 2017, doi:10.1007/s13143-017-0056-x.

Matsueda, M. and H. Endo, 2017: The robustness of future changes in Northern Hemisphere blocking: A large ensemble projection with multiple sea surface temperature patterns, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 5158-5166, doi:10.1002/2017GL073336.

Kusunoki, S., 2017: Future changes in global precipitation projected by the atmospheric model MRI-AGCM3.2H with a 60-km size, Atmosphere, 8, 5, 93, 2017/5/21, doi:10.3390/atmos8050093.

Pinzon, R., K. Hibino, I. Takayabu, T. Nakaegawa, 2017: Virtually experiencing future climate changes in Central America with MRI-AGCM: climate analogues study, Hydrological Research Letters, 11, 2, 106-113, doi:10.3178/hrl.11.106.

Okada, Y., T. Takemi, H. Ishikawa, S. Kusunoki, and R. Mizuta, 2017: Future changes in atmospheric conditions for the seasonal evolution of the baiu as revealed from projected AGCM experiments, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 95, 4, 239-260, 2017/4/26, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2017-013.